Grenoble vs Reims preview
In the Ligue 2 match between Grenoble and Reims, the 1X2 probabilities indicate Reims has a 54% chance of winning, while Grenoble sits at 21%. The most likely scoreline is 0-2, with a probability of 11%. Reims has shown stronger recent form, winning 3 of their last 6 matches, while Grenoble has lost 4 of their last 5.
The expected goals suggest a significant difference, with Grenoble at 0.90 and Reims at 2.22. While Over 2.5 goals has a 60% likelihood and both teams to score stands at 54%, unexpected performances from Grenoble could alter these outcomes. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Grenoble vs Reims: model vs market
| Source | Grenoble | Draw | Reims |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 13% | 21% | 66% |
| Market | 24% | 26% | 50% |
| Published | 21% | 25% | 54% |
| Edge | -3% | -1% | +4% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.22 vs 0.90.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Reims below our published probability: +4.0 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.97, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +7.1% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Grenoble vs Reims odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Reims, 4 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grenoble | 3.88 | 3.90 | +0.02 |
| Draw | 3.40 | 3.60 | +0.20 |
| Reims | 1.96 | 1.85 | -0.11 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Grenoble and Reims expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.12
- Attack rating (Grenoble / Reims)
- 0.76 / 1.44
- Defence rating (Grenoble / Reims)
- 1.24 / 0.90
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Grenoble vs Reims score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Grenoble goals. Columns: Reims goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Grenoble vs Reims goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 54%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Grenoble vs Reims
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Grenoble | 21% | 4.73 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.08 | |
| Reims | 54% | 1.84 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60% | 1.66 |
| Under 2.5 | 40% | 2.52 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54% | 1.86 |
| No | 46% | 2.16 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Grenoble or draw) | 46% | 2.19 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Reims) | 79% | 1.27 | |
| Handicap -1 | Reims win by 2+ | 44% | 2.28 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Grenoble and Reims recent form
Grenoble
1W 1D 4L
Reims
3W 3D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Grenoble at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Reims away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-0
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 0.60
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
League matches this season before kick-off: Grenoble at home only, Reims away only.
Grenoble vs Reims head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Grenoble 1 · draws 1 · Reims 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Grenoble | 0-0 | Reims | Ligue 2 |
| 2025-10-04 | Reims | 2-4 | Grenoble | Ligue 2 |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Montpellier vs Metz 2026-11-06
- Dijon v RED Star FC 93 — match page 2026-11-06
- Clermont Foot vs Rodez — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- Nancy v Sochaux — match page 2026-11-06
- Saint-Etienne vs Laval — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- PAU vs Nantes 2026-11-06
- Boulogne v Annecy — match page 2026-11-06
- Dunkerque vs Guingamp — team news & stats 2026-11-06
Before and after this match
- Grenoble, previous: Grenoble vs Dijon prediction
- Grenoble, next: Chambéry vs Grenoble prediction
- Reims, previous: Reims vs Sochaux: odds and pick
- Reims, next: Tourcoing vs Reims prediction