Dunkerque vs Guingamp preview
In the Ligue 2 fixture between Dunkerque and Guingamp, the 1X2 probabilities show Guingamp at 42%, Dunkerque at 31%, and a draw at 27%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which occurs with a 9% probability. Guingamp's recent form includes 3 wins in their last 6 matches, while Dunkerque has only 2 wins in the same period.
The model suggests a 54% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 58% probability for both teams to score. Dunkerque has expected goals of 1.30, while Guingamp has 1.55. If Dunkerque can improve their form or if Guingamp struggles to maintain their winning streak, the predictions could change.
Dunkerque vs Guingamp: model vs market
| Source | Dunkerque | Draw | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31% | 27% | 42% |
| Market | 34% | 27% | 39% |
| Published | 33% | 27% | 40% |
| Edge | -1% | 0% | +1% |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.52, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +0.5% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Dunkerque vs Guingamp odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Guingamp, 4 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque | 2.63 | 2.72 | +0.09 |
| Draw | 3.58 | 3.50 | -0.08 |
| Guingamp | 2.45 | 2.38 | -0.07 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Dunkerque and Guingamp expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.84
- Attack rating (Dunkerque / Guingamp)
- 0.97 / 1.09
- Defence rating (Dunkerque / Guingamp)
- 1.14 / 1.01
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Dunkerque vs Guingamp score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Dunkerque goals. Columns: Guingamp goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Dunkerque vs Guingamp goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 58%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Dunkerque vs Guingamp
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dunkerque | 33% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.74 | |
| Guingamp | 40% | 2.51 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 | 46% | 2.18 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58% | 1.72 |
| No | 42% | 2.40 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Dunkerque or draw) | 60% | 1.66 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or Guingamp) | 67% | 1.50 | |
| Handicap -1 | Guingamp win by 2+ | 22% | 4.61 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Dunkerque and Guingamp recent form
Dunkerque
2W 1D 3L
Guingamp
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Dunkerque at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.17
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- 54% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Guingamp away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-3
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
League matches this season before kick-off: Dunkerque at home only, Guingamp away only.
Dunkerque vs Guingamp head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Dunkerque 0 · draws 1 · Guingamp 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-06 | Dunkerque | 0-0 | Guingamp | Ligue 2 |
| 2025-09-23 | Guingamp | 2-1 | Dunkerque | Ligue 2 |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Montpellier vs Metz 2026-11-06
- Dijon v RED Star FC 93 — match page 2026-11-06
- Clermont Foot vs Rodez — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- Grenoble vs Reims 2026-11-06
- Nancy v Sochaux — match page 2026-11-06
- Saint-Etienne vs Laval — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- PAU vs Nantes 2026-11-06
- Boulogne v Annecy — match page 2026-11-06
Before and after this match
- Dunkerque, previous: Rodez vs Dunkerque prediction
- Dunkerque, next: Dunkerque vs Quevilly: odds and pick
- Guingamp, previous: Guingamp v Saint-Etienne analysis
- Guingamp, next: Lannion vs Guingamp prediction