Dijon vs RED Star FC 93 preview
Dijon faces RED Star FC 93 with a 44% chance to win compared to 33% for RED Star FC 93. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, occurring 8% of the time according to our model. Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are both at 73%, indicating a strong potential for a high-scoring match.
However, the confidence grade is C, suggesting uncertainty in the prediction. Recent form shows Dijon winning 4 of their last 6 matches, while RED Star FC 93 has also won 4 of their last 6. This could lead to a tighter game than anticipated, impacting the expected goals of 2.05 for Dijon and 1.76 for RED Star FC 93.
Dijon vs RED Star FC 93: model vs market
| Source | Dijon | Draw | RED Star FC 93 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52% | 21% | 27% |
| Market | 36% | 27% | 37% |
| Published | 40% | 25% | 34% |
| Edge | +4% | -1% | -3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.35 vs 1.69.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices Dijon below our published probability: +3.9 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.70, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +8.9% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Dijon vs RED Star FC 93 odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Dijon, 4 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon | 2.62 | 2.55 | -0.08 |
| Draw | 3.40 | 3.50 | +0.10 |
| RED Star FC 93 | 2.58 | 2.51 | -0.07 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Dijon and RED Star FC 93 expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.04
- Attack rating (Dijon / RED Star FC 93)
- 1.43 / 1.08
- Defence rating (Dijon / RED Star FC 93)
- 1.25 / 1.24
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Dijon vs RED Star FC 93 score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Dijon goals. Columns: RED Star FC 93 goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Dijon vs RED Star FC 93 goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 74%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Dijon vs RED Star FC 93
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dijon | 40% | 2.48 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.97 | |
| RED Star FC 93 | 34% | 2.90 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77% | 1.30 |
| Under 2.5 | 23% | 4.31 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74% | 1.34 |
| No | 26% | 3.92 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Dijon or draw) | 66% | 1.53 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or RED Star FC 93) | 60% | 1.68 | |
| Handicap -1 | Dijon win by 2+ | 33% | 3.05 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Dijon and RED Star FC 93 recent form
Dijon
4W 0D 2L
RED Star FC 93
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Dijon at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-3
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
RED Star FC 93 away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.83
- Goals against / match
- 1.17
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Dijon at home only, RED Star FC 93 away only.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Montpellier vs Metz 2026-11-06
- Clermont Foot vs Rodez — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- Grenoble vs Reims 2026-11-06
- Nancy v Sochaux — match page 2026-11-06
- Saint-Etienne vs Laval — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- PAU vs Nantes 2026-11-06
- Boulogne v Annecy — match page 2026-11-06
- Dunkerque vs Guingamp — team news & stats 2026-11-06
Before and after this match
- Dijon, previous: Grenoble vs Dijon prediction
- Dijon, next: Dijon – Orleans, 2026-11-13
- RED Star FC 93, previous: RED Star FC 93 – Nancy, 2026-11-02
- RED Star FC 93, next: Gobelins vs RED Star FC 93: odds and pick