Boulogne vs Annecy preview
In the Ligue 2 fixture between Boulogne and Annecy, the 1X2 probabilities show Boulogne at 36%, Annecy at 33%, and a draw at 31%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 10% chance according to our model. Boulogne has an expected goals figure of 1.01, while Annecy is slightly higher at 1.20.
Both teams to score sits at 46%, indicating a moderate chance for goals from both sides. Boulogne's recent form shows L-D-W-D-L-D, while Annecy has L-W-L-W-L-L. The head-to-head record favors Annecy with 1 win and 1 draw in the last 2 encounters. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting uncertainty in the outcome.
Boulogne vs Annecy: model vs market
| Source | Boulogne | Draw | Annecy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30% | 32% | 39% |
| Market | 38% | 31% | 31% |
| Published | 36% | 31% | 33% |
| Edge | -2% | 0% | +2% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.54, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.5% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Boulogne vs Annecy odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Boulogne, 6 snapshots since 2026-11-01.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boulogne | 2.48 | 2.45 | -0.02 |
| Draw | 3.00 | 3.05 | +0.05 |
| Annecy | 3.00 | 3.00 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Boulogne and Annecy expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.21
- Attack rating (Boulogne / Annecy)
- 0.69 / 1.12
- Defence rating (Boulogne / Annecy)
- 0.86 / 1.11
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Boulogne vs Annecy score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Boulogne goals. Columns: Annecy goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Boulogne vs Annecy goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 46%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Boulogne vs Annecy
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Boulogne | 36% | 2.78 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.24 | |
| Annecy | 33% | 3.02 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38% | 2.63 |
| Under 2.5 | 62% | 1.61 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46% | 2.19 |
| No | 54% | 1.84 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Boulogne or draw) | 67% | 1.49 |
| 12 (either side) | 69% | 1.45 | |
| X2 (draw or Annecy) | 64% | 1.56 | |
| Handicap -1 | Boulogne win by 2+ | 12% | 8.65 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Boulogne and Annecy recent form
Boulogne
1W 3D 2L
Annecy
2W 0D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Boulogne at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-4-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- 52% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Annecy away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-2
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.17
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Boulogne at home only, Annecy away only.
Boulogne vs Annecy head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Boulogne 0 · draws 1 · Annecy 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Boulogne | 1-2 | Annecy | Ligue 2 |
| 2025-10-31 | Annecy | 1-1 | Boulogne | Ligue 2 |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Montpellier vs Metz 2026-11-06
- Dijon v RED Star FC 93 — match page 2026-11-06
- Clermont Foot vs Rodez — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- Grenoble vs Reims 2026-11-06
- Nancy v Sochaux — match page 2026-11-06
- Saint-Etienne vs Laval — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- PAU vs Nantes 2026-11-06
- Dunkerque vs Guingamp — team news & stats 2026-11-06
Before and after this match
- Boulogne, previous: Laval vs Boulogne: odds and pick
- Boulogne, next: St Ouen l'Aumône vs Boulogne prediction
- Annecy, previous: Annecy – Montpellier, 2026-10-31
- Annecy, next: Firminy vs Annecy prediction