Nancy vs Sochaux preview
In the Ligue 2 match between Nancy and Sochaux, the 1X2 probabilities show Nancy at 56% to win, while Sochaux stands at 19%. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which aligns with Nancy's expected goals of 1.94 compared to Sochaux's 0.93. This suggests a strong performance from Nancy.
However, the recent form indicates potential pitfalls. Nancy has won 4 of their last 5 matches, but they did lose one recently. Sochaux, on the other hand, has struggled with 3 losses in their last 5 games. While the model suggests Over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 53%, Sochaux's low expected goals could impact these outcomes.
Nancy vs Sochaux: model vs market
| Source | Nancy | Draw | Sochaux |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60% | 24% | 17% |
| Market | 55% | 26% | 19% |
| Published | 56% | 25% | 19% |
| Edge | +1% | -1% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 0.93.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.78, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -0.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Nancy vs Sochaux odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Nancy, 4 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nancy | 1.88 | 1.70 | -0.18 |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.60 | +0.05 |
| Sochaux | 4.03 | 4.80 | +0.77 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Nancy and Sochaux expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.87
- Attack rating (Nancy / Sochaux)
- 1.29 / 0.88
- Defence rating (Nancy / Sochaux)
- 0.85 / 1.14
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Nancy vs Sochaux score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Nancy goals. Columns: Sochaux goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Nancy vs Sochaux goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 53%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Nancy vs Sochaux
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nancy | 56% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.95 | |
| Sochaux | 19% | 5.35 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55% | 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 | 45% | 2.21 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 1.89 |
| No | 47% | 2.13 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Nancy or draw) | 81% | 1.23 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Sochaux) | 44% | 2.27 | |
| Handicap -1 | Nancy win by 2+ | 36% | 2.75 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Nancy and Sochaux recent form
Nancy
5W 0D 1L
Sochaux
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Nancy at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-2
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.60
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
Sochaux away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-4-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.17
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Nancy at home only, Sochaux away only.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Montpellier vs Metz 2026-11-06
- Dijon v RED Star FC 93 — match page 2026-11-06
- Clermont Foot vs Rodez — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- Grenoble vs Reims 2026-11-06
- Saint-Etienne vs Laval — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- PAU vs Nantes 2026-11-06
- Boulogne v Annecy — match page 2026-11-06
- Dunkerque vs Guingamp — team news & stats 2026-11-06
Before and after this match
- Nancy, previous: RED Star FC 93 – Nancy, 2026-11-02
- Nancy, next: Stade Béthunois vs Nancy prediction
- Sochaux, previous: Reims vs Sochaux: odds and pick
- Sochaux, next: Boulay vs Sochaux prediction