Saint-Etienne vs Laval preview
In the Ligue 2 fixture between Saint-Etienne and Laval, the 1X2 probabilities show a strong lean towards Saint-Etienne at 60%, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1 (10%). The expected goals also favor Saint-Etienne significantly at 2.10 compared to Laval's 1.07.
However, both teams to score stands at 59%, and Laval's recent form includes a win, which could challenge the expected outcome. Saint-Etienne's confidence grade is C, indicating that while they are favored, the match could still be competitive. If Laval can find a way to capitalize on their chances, they might disrupt the anticipated scoreline.
Saint-Etienne vs Laval: model vs market
| Source | Saint-Etienne | Draw | Laval |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60% | 22% | 18% |
| Market | 69% | 19% | 12% |
| Published | 67% | 20% | 13% |
| Edge | -2% | +1% | +2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.10 vs 1.07.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.40, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -6.4% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Saint-Etienne vs Laval odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Saint-Etienne, 4 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saint-Etienne | 1.33 | 1.33 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 5.25 | 4.80 | -0.45 |
| Laval | 8.20 | 7.90 | -0.30 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Saint-Etienne and Laval expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.17
- Attack rating (Saint-Etienne / Laval)
- 1.26 / 0.98
- Defence rating (Saint-Etienne / Laval)
- 0.88 / 1.26
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Saint-Etienne vs Laval score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Saint-Etienne goals. Columns: Laval goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Saint-Etienne vs Laval goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 59%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Saint-Etienne vs Laval
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Saint-Etienne | 67% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 20% | 5.01 | |
| Laval | 13% | 7.60 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61% | 1.63 |
| Under 2.5 | 39% | 2.59 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59% | 1.70 |
| No | 41% | 2.42 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Saint-Etienne or draw) | 87% | 1.15 |
| 12 (either side) | 80% | 1.25 | |
| X2 (draw or Laval) | 33% | 3.02 | |
| Handicap -1 | Saint-Etienne win by 2+ | 38% | 2.66 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Saint-Etienne and Laval recent form
Saint-Etienne
3W 1D 2L
Laval
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Saint-Etienne at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.60
- Goals against / match
- 0.40
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 8 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
Laval away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 2.20
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Saint-Etienne at home only, Laval away only.
Saint-Etienne vs Laval head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Saint-Etienne 1 · draws 1 · Laval 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Saint-Etienne | 2-1 | Laval | Ligue 2 |
| 2025-08-09 | Laval | 3-3 | Saint-Etienne | Ligue 2 |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
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- Dijon v RED Star FC 93 — match page 2026-11-06
- Clermont Foot vs Rodez — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- Grenoble vs Reims 2026-11-06
- Nancy v Sochaux — match page 2026-11-06
- PAU vs Nantes 2026-11-06
- Boulogne v Annecy — match page 2026-11-06
- Dunkerque vs Guingamp — team news & stats 2026-11-06
Before and after this match
- Saint-Etienne, previous: Guingamp v Saint-Etienne analysis
- Saint-Etienne, next: Rumilly Vallières – Saint-Etienne, 2026-11-15
- Laval, previous: Laval vs Boulogne: odds and pick
- Laval, next: Saint-Renan vs Laval: odds and pick