Laval vs Boulogne preview
In the Ligue 2 fixture between Laval and Boulogne, the 1X2 probabilities show Laval at 39%, while Boulogne stands at 31%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0, with a 10% chance. Laval's recent form is concerning, with 5 losses in their last 6 matches, while Boulogne has managed to secure 1 win and 5 draws in the same period.
The expected goals indicate Laval at 1.07 and Boulogne at 1.21, suggesting a slight edge for Boulogne in attacking potential. However, both teams to score sits at 48%, indicating that while scoring is possible, it is not guaranteed. The confidence grade is C, reflecting uncertainty in the outcome of this match.
Laval vs Boulogne: model vs market
| Source | Laval | Draw | Boulogne |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31% | 31% | 38% |
| Market | 42% | 30% | 29% |
| Published | 39% | 30% | 31% |
| Edge | -3% | 0% | +2% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.29, recorded — the top price across the 2 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -11.0% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Laval and Boulogne expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.28
- Attack rating (Laval / Boulogne)
- 0.98 / 0.71
- Defence rating (Laval / Boulogne)
- 1.37 / 0.83
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Laval vs Boulogne score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Laval goals. Columns: Boulogne goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Laval vs Boulogne goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 48%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Laval vs Boulogne
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Laval | 39% | 2.57 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.35 | |
| Boulogne | 31% | 3.20 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40% | 2.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 60% | 1.67 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48% | 2.10 |
| No | 52% | 1.91 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Laval or draw) | 69% | 1.45 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.43 | |
| X2 (draw or Boulogne) | 61% | 1.64 | |
| Handicap -1 | Laval win by 2+ | 13% | 7.95 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Laval and Boulogne recent form
Laval
0W 2D 4L
Boulogne
1W 4D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Laval at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Boulogne away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-1
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.60
- Goals against / match
- 0.40
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
- 48% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Laval at home only, Boulogne away only.
Laval vs Boulogne head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Laval 2 · draws 0 · Boulogne 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Laval | 2-1 | Boulogne | Ligue 2 |
| 2025-09-12 | Boulogne | 1-2 | Laval | Ligue 2 |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Nantes vs Clermont Foot 2026-10-30
- Grenoble vs Dijon 2026-10-30
- Metz vs PAU — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- Rodez v Dunkerque — match page 2026-10-30
- Reims vs Sochaux — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Annecy vs Montpellier — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Guingamp v Saint-Etienne — match page 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Laval, previous: Nancy vs Laval: odds and pick
- Boulogne, previous: Boulogne vs Reims: odds and pick