Updated

Ligue 2 · Matchday 11

RED Star FC 93 vs Nancy

· Stade Bauer, Paris - Saint-Ouen

Alin prediction RED Star FC 93 to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 2 – 1

8% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
RED Star FC 93DrawNancy
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — RED Star FC 93 is the favourite, not a value bet.
Best market odds
RED Star FC 932.31 Draw3.53 Nancy3.25

Price as of

Expected return at 2.31: -10.1% per unit staked

RED Star FC 93 vs Nancy preview

In the Ligue 2 fixture between RED Star FC 93 and Nancy, the 1X2 probabilities show RED Star FC 93 at 39%, Nancy at 34%, and a draw at 27%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1, with an 8% chance. Both teams to score is at 58%, while Over 2.5 goals stands at 53%.

Recent form indicates RED Star FC 93 has won 4 of their last 6 matches, while Nancy has won 4 of their last 6 but lost their last match. The expected goals are RED Star FC 93 at 1.30 and Nancy at 1.49. A potential factor that could affect the outcome is the confidence grade of C, suggesting some uncertainty in the predictions.

RED Star FC 93 vs Nancy: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceRED Star FC 93DrawNancy
Model32%28%40%
Market41%27%31%
Published39%27%34%
Edge-2%0%+2%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.31, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -10.1% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

RED Star FC 93 and Nancy expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.30RED Star FC 93
1.49Nancy
Total expected goals
2.79
Attack rating (RED Star FC 93 / Nancy)
1.13 / 1.11
Defence rating (RED Star FC 93 / Nancy)
1.08 / 0.87

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

RED Star FC 93 vs Nancy score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 7.3% 7.9% 6.8% 3.4% 1.7% 1 6.8% 13.1% 8.9% 4.4% 2.3% 2 5.2% 7.7% 5.8% 2.9% 1.5% 3 2.3% 3.4% 2.5% 1.2% 0.6% 4+ 1.0% 1.5% 1.1% 0.5% 0.3%

Rows: RED Star FC 93 goals. Columns: Nancy goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

RED Star FC 93 vs Nancy goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 93%
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 53%
Over 3.5 31%
Both teams to score
58%
No goals (0–0)
7%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for RED Star FC 93 vs Nancy

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2RED Star FC 9339%2.57
Draw27%3.64
Nancy34%2.98
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.553%1.89
Under 2.547%2.12
Both teams to scoreYes58%1.74
No42%2.36
Double chance1X (RED Star FC 93 or draw)66%1.51
12 (either side)73%1.38
X2 (draw or Nancy)61%1.64
Handicap -1RED Star FC 93 win by 2+14%6.90
Push (exactly one goal)17%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites
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RED Star FC 93 and Nancy recent form

RED Star FC 93 4W 0D 2L
Nancy 4W 0D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

RED Star FC 93 at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Win rate
25%
Goals for / match
0.50
Goals against / match
1.25
Clean sheets
2 of 4
  • They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • 48% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Nancy away

Record (W-D-L)
3-1-1
Win rate
60%
Goals for / match
1.40
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
2 of 5
  • They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: RED Star FC 93 at home only, Nancy away only.

RED Star FC 93 vs Nancy head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: RED Star FC 93 2 · draws 0 · Nancy 0.

RED Star FC 93DrawsNancy
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-02-13RED Star FC 932-1NancyLigue 2
2025-09-19Nancy0-1RED Star FC 93Ligue 2

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot RED Star FC 93 to win Predicted score 2 – 1 C Bet on RED Star FC 93