Grenoble vs Dijon preview
Grenoble faces Dijon with a 24% chance of winning compared to Dijon's 52%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which aligns with Dijon's stronger expected goals of 1.96 against Grenoble's 1.28. Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals both sit at 63%, indicating a high likelihood of an active match.
However, Grenoble's recent form shows three losses in their last five matches, which could affect their performance. Dijon, on the other hand, has won three of their last five. This contrast in form could lead to unexpected results, even with the statistical backing favoring Dijon.
Grenoble vs Dijon: model vs market
| Source | Grenoble | Draw | Dijon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26% | 25% | 50% |
| Market | 30% | 28% | 42% |
| Published | 29% | 27% | 44% |
| Edge | -1% | -1% | +2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.86 vs 1.30.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.30, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +1.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Grenoble and Dijon expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.16
- Attack rating (Grenoble / Dijon)
- 0.75 / 1.34
- Defence rating (Grenoble / Dijon)
- 1.12 / 1.31
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Grenoble vs Dijon score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Grenoble goals. Columns: Dijon goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Grenoble vs Dijon goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 62%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Grenoble vs Dijon
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Grenoble | 29% | 3.50 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.65 | |
| Dijon | 44% | 2.27 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61% | 1.63 |
| Under 2.5 | 39% | 2.58 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62% | 1.60 |
| No | 38% | 2.66 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Grenoble or draw) | 56% | 1.79 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or Dijon) | 71% | 1.40 | |
| Handicap -1 | Dijon win by 2+ | 29% | 3.50 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Grenoble and Dijon recent form
Grenoble
1W 1D 4L
Dijon
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Grenoble at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dijon away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-1
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Grenoble at home only, Dijon away only.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Nantes vs Clermont Foot 2026-10-30
- Metz vs PAU — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- Laval vs Boulogne 2026-10-30
- Rodez v Dunkerque — match page 2026-10-30
- Reims vs Sochaux — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Annecy vs Montpellier — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Guingamp v Saint-Etienne — match page 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Grenoble, previous: PAU v Grenoble analysis
- Dijon, previous: Dijon – Rodez, 2026-10-24