Reims vs Sochaux preview
In the Ligue 2 fixture between Reims and Sochaux, Reims has a 58% probability to win, while Sochaux stands at 20%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with an expected goals figure of 2.19 for Reims and 1.23 for Sochaux.
Reims shows solid recent form with 4 wins in their last 6 matches, while Sochaux has struggled, recording 3 losses in the same period. Both teams to score has a 64% probability, and Over 2.5 goals sits at 66%. However, if Sochaux improves their performance or if Reims underperforms, these predictions could change.
Reims vs Sochaux: model vs market
| Source | Reims | Draw | Sochaux |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 58% | 22% | 20% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 58% | 22% | 20% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.19 vs 1.23.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Reims and Sochaux expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.42
- Attack rating (Reims / Sochaux)
- 1.50 / 0.98
- Defence rating (Reims / Sochaux)
- 1.01 / 1.11
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Reims vs Sochaux score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Reims goals. Columns: Sochaux goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Reims vs Sochaux goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 64%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Reims vs Sochaux
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Reims | 58% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.57 | |
| Sochaux | 20% | 5.04 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 34% | 2.98 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64% | 1.57 |
| No | 36% | 2.76 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Reims or draw) | 80% | 1.25 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.28 | |
| X2 (draw or Sochaux) | 42% | 2.40 | |
| Handicap -1 | Reims win by 2+ | 37% | 2.71 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Reims and Sochaux recent form
Reims
3W 3D 0L
Sochaux
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Reims at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-0
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 2.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
Sochaux away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-4-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Reims at home only, Sochaux away only.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Nantes vs Clermont Foot 2026-10-30
- Grenoble vs Dijon 2026-10-30
- Metz vs PAU — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- Laval vs Boulogne 2026-10-30
- Rodez v Dunkerque — match page 2026-10-30
- Annecy vs Montpellier — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Guingamp v Saint-Etienne — match page 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Reims, previous: Boulogne vs Reims: odds and pick
- Sochaux, previous: Sochaux vs Annecy prediction