Clermont Foot vs Guingamp preview
Clermont Foot faces Guingamp with 36% probabilities for both teams to win in the 1X2 market. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 7% chance. Clermont Foot has struggled recently, recording 5 consecutive draws and a loss, while Guingamp has 3 losses, a win, and 2 draws in their last 6 matches.
The expected goals show Clermont Foot at 1.57 and Guingamp at 1.14. Over 2.5 goals has a 51% probability, and both teams to score is at 55%. A low-scoring game or a draw could change the expected outcomes, given both teams' recent performances and head-to-head history, where Clermont Foot has won both previous encounters.
Clermont Foot vs Guingamp: model vs market
| Source | Clermont Foot | Draw | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46% | 28% | 26% |
| Market | 32% | 28% | 40% |
| Published | 36% | 28% | 36% |
| Edge | +14% | -1% | -13% |
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.39, recorded — the top price across the 3 books we record, each at its own last update.
Clermont Foot vs Guingamp odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Guingamp, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-17.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Clermont Foot | 2.90 | 2.90 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.31 | 3.31 | +0.00 |
| Guingamp | 2.35 | 2.35 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Clermont Foot and Guingamp expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.70
- Attack rating (Clermont Foot / Guingamp)
- 0.96 / 0.87
- Defence rating (Clermont Foot / Guingamp)
- 1.06 / 1.22
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Clermont Foot vs Guingamp score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Clermont Foot goals. Columns: Guingamp goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Clermont Foot vs Guingamp goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 55%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Clermont Foot vs Guingamp
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Clermont Foot | 36% | 2.81 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.57 | |
| Guingamp | 36% | 2.75 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51% | 1.97 |
| Under 2.5 | 49% | 2.03 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 1.82 |
| No | 45% | 2.22 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Clermont Foot or draw) | 64% | 1.57 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or Guingamp) | 64% | 1.55 | |
| Handicap -1 | Guingamp win by 2+ | 11% | 9.16 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Clermont Foot and Guingamp recent form
Clermont Foot
0W 5D 1L
Guingamp
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Clermont Foot at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-4-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.60
- Goals against / match
- 0.80
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Guingamp away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
League matches this season before kick-off: Clermont Foot at home only, Guingamp away only.
Clermont Foot vs Guingamp head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Clermont Foot 2 · draws 0 · Guingamp 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Clermont Foot | 1-0 | Guingamp | Ligue 2 |
| 2025-10-24 | Guingamp | 0-1 | Clermont Foot | Ligue 2 |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Nancy vs Laval 2026-10-23
- Sochaux v Annecy — match page 2026-10-23
- PAU vs Grenoble 2026-10-23
- Dunkerque vs Metz — team news & stats 2026-10-23
- Montpellier vs RED Star FC 93 2026-10-24
- Dijon v Rodez — match page 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Clermont Foot, previous: Laval v Clermont Foot analysis
- Guingamp, previous: Guingamp vs PAU: odds and pick