Nancy vs Laval preview
In the fixture between Nancy and Laval, the 1X2 probabilities show Nancy at 55%, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1 (10%). Nancy's expected goals stand at 2.16, while Laval's is lower at 1.29. This suggests a solid advantage for Nancy, especially considering Laval's recent form of 0 wins in their last 6 matches.
However, the match could deviate from expectations. Laval has managed to draw against Nancy in their last head-to-head, and both teams to score stands at 65%. If Laval finds a way to improve their performance, they could challenge Nancy's dominance. The confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the prediction.
Nancy vs Laval: model vs market
| Source | Nancy | Draw | Laval |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56% | 22% | 21% |
| Market | 56% | 24% | 20% |
| Published | 56% | 24% | 21% |
| Edge | +1% | -2% | +1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.16 vs 1.29.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.70, recorded — the top price across the 4 books we record, each at its own last update.
Nancy vs Laval odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Nancy, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-17.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nancy | 1.73 | 1.69 | -0.04 |
| Draw | 3.84 | 3.91 | +0.07 |
| Laval | 4.35 | 4.58 | +0.23 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Nancy and Laval expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.44
- Attack rating (Nancy / Laval)
- 1.14 / 1.09
- Defence rating (Nancy / Laval)
- 0.95 / 1.41
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Nancy vs Laval score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Nancy goals. Columns: Laval goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Nancy vs Laval goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 65%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Nancy vs Laval
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nancy | 56% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.24 | |
| Laval | 21% | 4.83 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 33% | 3.02 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65% | 1.54 |
| No | 35% | 2.85 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Nancy or draw) | 79% | 1.26 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.31 | |
| X2 (draw or Laval) | 44% | 2.26 | |
| Handicap -1 | Nancy win by 2+ | 35% | 2.85 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Nancy and Laval recent form
Nancy
4W 0D 2L
Laval
0W 2D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Nancy at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Laval away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 2.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
League matches this season before kick-off: Nancy at home only, Laval away only.
Nancy vs Laval head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Nancy 0 · draws 1 · Laval 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-27 | Laval | 1-1 | Nancy | Ligue 2 |
| 2025-11-07 | Nancy | 0-2 | Laval | Ligue 2 |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Clermont Foot vs Guingamp — team news & stats 2026-10-23
- Sochaux v Annecy — match page 2026-10-23
- PAU vs Grenoble 2026-10-23
- Dunkerque vs Metz — team news & stats 2026-10-23
- Montpellier vs RED Star FC 93 2026-10-24
- Dijon v Rodez — match page 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Nancy, previous: Annecy vs Nancy: odds and pick
- Laval, previous: Laval v Clermont Foot analysis