Boulogne vs Reims preview
In the fixture between Boulogne and Reims, the 1X2 probabilities show Reims at 49%, compared to Boulogne's 22%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 12% chance. Boulogne has struggled recently, with a form of W-D-L-D-D-D, while Reims has performed better with W-D-D-W-D-W.
The expected goals indicate Boulogne at 0.95 and Reims at 1.53, suggesting Reims may dominate the scoring chances. However, the 45% chance for Over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score could indicate a more competitive match than the numbers suggest. A surprise performance from Boulogne could change the expected outcome.
Boulogne vs Reims: model vs market
| Source | Boulogne | Draw | Reims |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22% | 28% | 50% |
| Market | 30% | 29% | 40% |
| Published | 28% | 29% | 43% |
| Edge | -2% | 0% | +2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.53 vs 0.95.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Reims below our published probability: +2.3 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.34, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +0.1% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Boulogne vs Reims odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Reims, 10 snapshots since 2026-10-21.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boulogne | 3.05 | 3.10 | +0.05 |
| Draw | 3.16 | 3.16 | +0.00 |
| Reims | 2.30 | 2.30 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Boulogne and Reims expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.48
- Attack rating (Boulogne / Reims)
- 0.71 / 1.50
- Defence rating (Boulogne / Reims)
- 0.83 / 1.01
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Boulogne vs Reims score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Boulogne goals. Columns: Reims goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Boulogne vs Reims goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 49%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Boulogne vs Reims
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Boulogne | 28% | 3.56 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.43 | |
| Reims | 43% | 2.34 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45% | 2.21 |
| Under 2.5 | 55% | 1.82 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49% | 2.03 |
| No | 51% | 1.97 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Boulogne or draw) | 57% | 1.75 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or Reims) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| Handicap -1 | Reims win by 2+ | 26% | 3.81 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Boulogne and Reims recent form
Boulogne
1W 4D 1L
Reims
3W 3D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Boulogne at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-3-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
- 48% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Reims away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
League matches this season before kick-off: Boulogne at home only, Reims away only.
Boulogne vs Reims head-to-head
Last 7 meetings: Boulogne 1 · draws 2 · Reims 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Reims | 0-0 | Boulogne | Ligue 2 |
| 2025-10-28 | Boulogne | 2-6 | Reims | Ligue 2 |
| 2025-07-16 | Reims | 1-0 | Boulogne | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2012-05-01 | Reims | 3-2 | Boulogne | Ligue 2 |
| 2012-01-14 | Boulogne | 0-0 | Reims | Ligue 2 |
| 2011-04-15 | Reims | 4-1 | Boulogne | Ligue 2 |
| 2010-10-29 | Boulogne | 1-0 | Reims | Ligue 2 |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Clermont Foot vs Guingamp — team news & stats 2026-10-23
- Nancy vs Laval 2026-10-23
- Sochaux v Annecy — match page 2026-10-23
- PAU vs Grenoble 2026-10-23
- Dunkerque vs Metz — team news & stats 2026-10-23
- Dijon v Rodez — match page 2026-10-24
- Saint-Etienne vs Nantes — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Montpellier vs RED Star FC 93 2026-10-26
Before and after this match
- Boulogne, previous: Grenoble – Boulogne, 2026-10-16
- Boulogne, next: Laval vs Boulogne: odds and pick
- Reims, previous: Reims vs Dijon prediction
- Reims, next: Reims vs Sochaux: odds and pick