Montpellier vs RED Star FC 93 preview
Montpellier faces RED Star FC 93 with a 39% chance of winning compared to 30% for the visitors and a 31% chance of a draw. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which aligns with expected goals of 1.26 for Montpellier and 1.07 for RED Star FC 93.
Both teams to score is at 49%, suggesting a close match, while Over 2.5 goals sits at 41%. Montpellier's recent form shows 3 wins in their last 5 matches, while RED Star FC 93 has 4 wins in the same period. However, the confidence grade is C, indicating uncertainty in the outcome.
Montpellier vs RED Star FC 93: model vs market
| Source | Montpellier | Draw | RED Star FC 93 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39% | 31% | 30% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 39% | 31% | 30% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Montpellier and RED Star FC 93 expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.34
- Attack rating (Montpellier / RED Star FC 93)
- 0.89 / 1.31
- Defence rating (Montpellier / RED Star FC 93)
- 0.66 / 1.06
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Montpellier vs RED Star FC 93 score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Montpellier goals. Columns: RED Star FC 93 goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Montpellier vs RED Star FC 93 goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 49%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Montpellier vs RED Star FC 93
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Montpellier | 39% | 2.54 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.27 | |
| RED Star FC 93 | 30% | 3.33 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41% | 2.42 |
| Under 2.5 | 59% | 1.71 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49% | 2.06 |
| No | 51% | 1.94 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Montpellier or draw) | 70% | 1.43 |
| 12 (either side) | 69% | 1.44 | |
| X2 (draw or RED Star FC 93) | 61% | 1.65 | |
| Handicap -1 | Montpellier win by 2+ | 18% | 5.52 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Montpellier and RED Star FC 93 recent form
Montpellier
3W 2D 1L
RED Star FC 93
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Montpellier at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.25
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
RED Star FC 93 away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-0
- Win rate
- 80%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- 48% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Montpellier at home only, RED Star FC 93 away only.
Montpellier vs RED Star FC 93 head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Montpellier 0 · draws 2 · RED Star FC 93 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | RED Star FC 93 | 1-1 | Montpellier | Ligue 2 |
| 2025-08-09 | Montpellier | 1-1 | RED Star FC 93 | Ligue 2 |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Clermont Foot vs Guingamp — team news & stats 2026-10-23
- Nancy vs Laval 2026-10-23
- Sochaux v Annecy — match page 2026-10-23
- PAU vs Grenoble 2026-10-23
- Dunkerque vs Metz — team news & stats 2026-10-23
- Dijon v Rodez — match page 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Montpellier, previous: Rodez vs Montpellier: odds and pick
- RED Star FC 93, previous: RED Star FC 93 v Saint-Etienne analysis