Sochaux vs Annecy preview
In the Ligue 2 fixture between Sochaux and Annecy, the 1X2 probabilities show Sochaux at 38%, while both a draw and Annecy are at 31%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which our model predicts at 11%. Sochaux's expected goals stand at 1.20, compared to Annecy's 1.07, suggesting a slight edge for the home side.
However, there are factors that could challenge this prediction. Both teams to score has a probability of 47%, indicating a reasonable chance for Annecy to find the net. Additionally, Sochaux's recent form includes three draws, which could lead to a less decisive outcome than anticipated. Overall, while Sochaux has the advantage, the match could still be competitive.
Sochaux vs Annecy: model vs market
| Source | Sochaux | Draw | Annecy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35% | 29% | 36% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 35% | 29% | 36% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Sochaux and Annecy expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.55
- Attack rating (Sochaux / Annecy)
- 0.98 / 1.10
- Defence rating (Sochaux / Annecy)
- 0.95 / 0.96
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Sochaux vs Annecy score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Sochaux goals. Columns: Annecy goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Sochaux vs Annecy goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 53%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Sochaux vs Annecy
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sochaux | 35% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.42 | |
| Annecy | 36% | 2.76 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47% | 2.13 |
| Under 2.5 | 53% | 1.88 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 1.88 |
| No | 47% | 2.14 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Sochaux or draw) | 64% | 1.57 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or Annecy) | 65% | 1.53 | |
| Handicap -1 | Annecy win by 2+ | 17% | 5.99 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Sochaux and Annecy recent form
Sochaux
1W 4D 1L
Annecy
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Sochaux at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Annecy away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-2
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Sochaux at home only, Annecy away only.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Clermont Foot vs Guingamp — team news & stats 2026-10-23
- Nancy vs Laval 2026-10-23
- PAU vs Grenoble 2026-10-23
- Dunkerque vs Metz — team news & stats 2026-10-23
- Montpellier vs RED Star FC 93 2026-10-24
- Dijon v Rodez — match page 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Sochaux, previous: Metz – Sochaux, 2026-10-17
- Annecy, previous: Annecy vs Nancy: odds and pick