1. FC Magdeburg vs Karlsruher SC preview
In the match between 1. FC Magdeburg and Karlsruher SC, the 1X2 probabilities show 1. FC Magdeburg at 57% and Karlsruher SC at 21%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 10% chance. This suggests a strong possibility for 1. FC Magdeburg to secure a win.
However, Karlsruher SC has a head-to-head advantage with 2 wins in their last 2 encounters, which could influence the outcome. Additionally, while Over 2.5 goals has a 61% probability and both teams to score is at 57%, the recent form shows 1. FC Magdeburg's inconsistency and Karlsruher SC's struggles, which could lead to an unexpected result.
1. FC Magdeburg vs Karlsruher SC: model vs market
| Source | 1. FC Magdeburg | Draw | Karlsruher SC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62% | 22% | 16% |
| Market | 53% | 23% | 24% |
| Published | 55% | 23% | 22% |
| Edge | +2% | 0% | -2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.13 vs 1.02.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices 1. FC Magdeburg below our published probability: +2.2 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.83, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +1.4% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
1. FC Magdeburg vs Karlsruher SC odds movement
Median bookmaker price on 1. FC Magdeburg, 11 snapshots since 2026-10-18.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Magdeburg | 1.67 | 1.75 | +0.08 |
| Draw | 4.30 | 4.07 | -0.23 |
| Karlsruher SC | 4.08 | 3.89 | -0.19 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
1. FC Magdeburg and Karlsruher SC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.15
- Attack rating (1. FC Magdeburg / Karlsruher SC)
- 1.15 / 0.97
- Defence rating (1. FC Magdeburg / Karlsruher SC)
- 0.80 / 1.12
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
1. FC Magdeburg vs Karlsruher SC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: 1. FC Magdeburg goals. Columns: Karlsruher SC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
1. FC Magdeburg vs Karlsruher SC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 57%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for 1. FC Magdeburg vs Karlsruher SC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 55% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.42 | |
| Karlsruher SC | 22% | 4.55 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61% | 1.64 |
| Under 2.5 | 39% | 2.56 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57% | 1.75 |
| No | 43% | 2.34 | |
| Double chance | 1X (1. FC Magdeburg or draw) | 78% | 1.28 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.29 | |
| X2 (draw or Karlsruher SC) | 45% | 2.24 | |
| Handicap -1 | 1. FC Magdeburg win by 2+ | 40% | 2.53 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
1. FC Magdeburg and Karlsruher SC recent form
1. FC Magdeburg
3W 1D 2L
Karlsruher SC
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
1. FC Magdeburg at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 2.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
Karlsruher SC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: 1. FC Magdeburg at home only, Karlsruher SC away only.
1. FC Magdeburg vs Karlsruher SC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: 1. FC Magdeburg 2 · draws 3 · Karlsruher SC 5.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 1-3 | Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga |
| 2025-09-27 | Karlsruher SC | 1-0 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 2. Bundesliga |
| 2025-02-22 | Karlsruher SC | 3-1 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 2. Bundesliga |
| 2024-09-22 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 2-2 | Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga |
| 2024-03-17 | Karlsruher SC | 7-0 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 2. Bundesliga |
| 2023-10-07 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 1-1 | Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga |
| 2023-02-05 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 1-1 | Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga |
| 2022-07-24 | Karlsruher SC | 2-3 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 2. Bundesliga |
| 2018-04-07 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 2-0 | Karlsruher SC | 3. Liga |
| 2017-10-29 | Karlsruher SC | 1-0 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 3. Liga |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Bochum vs Wolfsburg 2026-10-23
- Darmstadt vs St. Pauli 2026-10-23
- Hertha BSC v Arminia Bielefeld — match page 2026-10-24
- FC Heidenheim vs Energie Cottbus — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- 1. FC Nürnberg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Holstein Kiel v Dynamo Dresden — match page 2026-10-25
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs Hannover 96 — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- 1. FC Magdeburg, previous: Dynamo Dresden – 1. FC Magdeburg, 2026-10-18
- 1. FC Magdeburg, next: Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Magdeburg: odds and pick
- Karlsruher SC, previous: Karlsruher SC – Darmstadt, 2026-10-18
- Karlsruher SC, next: Borussia M.Gladbach – Karlsruher SC, 2026-10-27