Preußen Münster vs Rot-Weiß Essen preview
Preußen Münster faces Rot-Weiß Essen in the 3. Liga, with the market indicating a 47% chance for an away win. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, occurring at a 9% probability. Both teams show strong potential for scoring, with 65% for both teams to score and a 64% chance for Over 2.5 goals.
Preußen Münster's recent form includes two wins in their last six matches, while Rot-Weiß Essen has three wins in their last six. The expected goals suggest a competitive match, with Preußen Münster at 1.41 and Rot-Weiß Essen at 1.86. A draw is also a possibility, given the 25% chance, which could impact the predicted outcome.
Preußen Münster vs Rot-Weiß Essen: model vs market
| Source | Preußen Münster | Draw | Rot-Weiß Essen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28% | 25% | 47% |
| Market | 28% | 25% | 47% |
| Published | 28% | 25% | 47% |
| Edge | 0% | 0% | 0% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.86 vs 1.41.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.01, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.
Preußen Münster vs Rot-Weiß Essen odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Rot-Weiß Essen, 24 snapshots since 2026-09-25.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Preußen Münster | 3.87 | 3.20 | -0.67 |
| Draw | 3.80 | 3.64 | -0.16 |
| Rot-Weiß Essen | 1.72 | 1.93 | +0.21 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Preußen Münster and Rot-Weiß Essen expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.28
- Attack rating (Preußen Münster / Rot-Weiß Essen)
- 0.92 / 1.07
- Defence rating (Preußen Münster / Rot-Weiß Essen)
- 1.18 / 0.88
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Preußen Münster vs Rot-Weiß Essen score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Preußen Münster goals. Columns: Rot-Weiß Essen goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Preußen Münster vs Rot-Weiß Essen goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 65%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Preußen Münster vs Rot-Weiß Essen
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Preußen Münster | 28% | 3.54 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.04 | |
| Rot-Weiß Essen | 47% | 2.13 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64% | 1.57 |
| Under 2.5 | 36% | 2.75 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65% | 1.54 |
| No | 35% | 2.85 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Preußen Münster or draw) | 53% | 1.88 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Rot-Weiß Essen) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| Handicap -1 | Rot-Weiß Essen win by 2+ | 27% | 3.73 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Preußen Münster and Rot-Weiß Essen recent form
Preußen Münster
2W 1D 3L
Rot-Weiß Essen
4W 2D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Preußen Münster at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-0
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
Rot-Weiß Essen away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Preußen Münster at home only, Rot-Weiß Essen away only.
Preußen Münster vs Rot-Weiß Essen head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Preußen Münster 2 · draws 1 · Rot-Weiß Essen 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-01-28 | Preußen Münster | 2-1 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 3. Liga |
| 2023-08-27 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 1-0 | Preußen Münster | 3. Liga |
| 2022-02-20 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 1-1 | Preußen Münster | Regionalliga - West |
| 2021-09-14 | Preußen Münster | 2-3 | Rot-Weiß Essen | Regionalliga - West |
| 2021-03-13 | Preußen Münster | 1-0 | Rot-Weiß Essen | Regionalliga - West |
| 2020-10-17 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 1-0 | Preußen Münster | Regionalliga - West |
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