SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II preview
SV Meppen hosts Stuttgart II in a match where the model gives SV Meppen a 42% chance to win, while Stuttgart II has a 35% chance. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of SV Meppen, with a 7% probability. The market suggests a high likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 78% and both teams to score at 76%.
Recent form shows SV Meppen with four losses followed by two wins, while Stuttgart II has drawn once and lost four of their last six matches. The expected goals are 1.92 for SV Meppen and 2.19 for Stuttgart II, indicating a competitive match. The confidence grade is C, reflecting a blend of probabilities and market odds.
SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II: model vs market
| Source | SV Meppen | Draw | Stuttgart II |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34% | 22% | 44% |
| Market | 44% | 24% | 31% |
| Published | 42% | 24% | 35% |
| Edge | -10% | -3% | +13% |
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.12, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.
SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II odds movement
Median bookmaker price on SV Meppen, 24 snapshots since 2026-09-25.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| SV Meppen | 2.12 | 2.05 | -0.07 |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.76 | +0.01 |
| Stuttgart II | 3.00 | 2.90 | -0.10 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
SV Meppen and Stuttgart II expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.11
- Attack rating (SV Meppen / Stuttgart II)
- 0.81 / 1.24
- Defence rating (SV Meppen / Stuttgart II)
- 1.20 / 1.37
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: SV Meppen goals. Columns: Stuttgart II goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 76%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SV Meppen | 42% | 2.39 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.24 | |
| Stuttgart II | 35% | 2.89 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 78% | 1.29 |
| Under 2.5 | 22% | 4.49 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76% | 1.31 |
| No | 24% | 4.25 | |
| Double chance | 1X (SV Meppen or draw) | 65% | 1.53 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.31 | |
| X2 (draw or Stuttgart II) | 58% | 1.72 | |
| Handicap -1 | SV Meppen win by 2+ | 18% | 5.46 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
SV Meppen and Stuttgart II recent form
SV Meppen
2W 0D 4L
Stuttgart II
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
SV Meppen at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 3.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Stuttgart II away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: SV Meppen at home only, Stuttgart II away only.
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