SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Havelse preview
SSV Jahn Regensburg hosts Havelse in a 3. Liga match with a 57% chance of a home win according to the model 1X2 probabilities. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with the high expectation for goals, as there is a 79% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 76% chance for both teams to score.
However, Regensburg's recent form shows they have drawn or lost their last five matches, while Havelse has a mix of results, including one win. This inconsistency could lead to unexpected outcomes, especially since Havelse has not won in their last two encounters with Regensburg, who have won both. The confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Havelse: model vs market
| Source | SSV Jahn Regensburg | Draw | Havelse |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53% | 20% | 27% |
| Market | 58% | 21% | 20% |
| Published | 57% | 21% | 22% |
| Edge | -5% | -1% | +6% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.47 vs 1.75.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.62, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Havelse odds movement
Median bookmaker price on SSV Jahn Regensburg, 24 snapshots since 2026-09-25.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| SSV Jahn Regensburg | 1.50 | 1.57 | +0.07 |
| Draw | 4.60 | 4.30 | -0.30 |
| Havelse | 5.30 | 4.47 | -0.83 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
SSV Jahn Regensburg and Havelse expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.22
- Attack rating (SSV Jahn Regensburg / Havelse)
- 1.04 / 0.95
- Defence rating (SSV Jahn Regensburg / Havelse)
- 1.25 / 1.36
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Havelse score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: SSV Jahn Regensburg goals. Columns: Havelse goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Havelse goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 76%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Havelse
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 57% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.75 | |
| Havelse | 22% | 4.55 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79% | 1.26 |
| Under 2.5 | 21% | 4.82 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76% | 1.31 |
| No | 24% | 4.22 | |
| Double chance | 1X (SSV Jahn Regensburg or draw) | 78% | 1.28 |
| 12 (either side) | 79% | 1.27 | |
| X2 (draw or Havelse) | 43% | 2.32 | |
| Handicap -1 | SSV Jahn Regensburg win by 2+ | 34% | 2.93 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
SSV Jahn Regensburg and Havelse recent form
SSV Jahn Regensburg
0W 2D 4L
Havelse
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
SSV Jahn Regensburg at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
Havelse away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: SSV Jahn Regensburg at home only, Havelse away only.
SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Havelse head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: SSV Jahn Regensburg 2 · draws 0 · Havelse 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 5-2 | Havelse | 3. Liga |
| 2025-10-19 | Havelse | 1-2 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 3. Liga |
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