Würzburger Kickers vs Hansa Rostock preview
Würzburger Kickers face Hansa Rostock in a 3. Liga match where the 1X2 probabilities show Hansa Rostock at 46%, making them the favorites. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which aligns with expected goals of 2.08 for Würzburger Kickers and 2.18 for Hansa Rostock.
Both teams to score stands at 78%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 80%. However, Würzburger Kickers' recent form is concerning, with five losses in their last six matches. If they can't improve, it may affect the likelihood of these scoring outcomes.
Würzburger Kickers vs Hansa Rostock: model vs market
| Source | Würzburger Kickers | Draw | Hansa Rostock |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37% | 21% | 41% |
| Market | 28% | 24% | 48% |
| Published | 31% | 23% | 46% |
| Edge | +9% | -3% | -6% |
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.94, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.
Würzburger Kickers vs Hansa Rostock odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Hansa Rostock, 24 snapshots since 2026-09-25.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Würzburger Kickers | 4.20 | 3.23 | -0.97 |
| Draw | 4.30 | 3.80 | -0.50 |
| Hansa Rostock | 1.67 | 1.92 | +0.25 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Würzburger Kickers and Hansa Rostock expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.26
- Attack rating (Würzburger Kickers / Hansa Rostock)
- 0.92 / 1.22
- Defence rating (Würzburger Kickers / Hansa Rostock)
- 1.22 / 1.30
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Würzburger Kickers vs Hansa Rostock score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Würzburger Kickers goals. Columns: Hansa Rostock goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Würzburger Kickers vs Hansa Rostock goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 78%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Würzburger Kickers vs Hansa Rostock
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Würzburger Kickers | 31% | 3.27 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.28 | |
| Hansa Rostock | 46% | 2.17 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 80% | 1.25 |
| Under 2.5 | 20% | 4.93 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 78% | 1.28 |
| No | 22% | 4.59 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Würzburger Kickers or draw) | 54% | 1.85 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or Hansa Rostock) | 69% | 1.44 | |
| Handicap -1 | Hansa Rostock win by 2+ | 24% | 4.16 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Würzburger Kickers and Hansa Rostock recent form
Würzburger Kickers
1W 0D 5L
Hansa Rostock
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Würzburger Kickers at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Hansa Rostock away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.25
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Würzburger Kickers at home only, Hansa Rostock away only.
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