SSV Jeddeloh vs Hertha BSC Prediction & Betting Tips 28/10/2026

SSV Jeddeloh vs Hertha BSC preview

SSV Jeddeloh faces Hertha BSC with a 10% chance of winning for Jeddeloh and a 73% chance for Hertha. The most likely scoreline is 0-2, which aligns with Hertha's expected goals of 2.66 compared to Jeddeloh's 0.94.

Hertha BSC's recent form shows they are in strong shape with 5 wins and a draw in their last 6 matches. However, if Jeddeloh can outperform expectations, the forecast could change. The model also suggests a 70% probability for Over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance for both teams to score, indicating potential for a higher-scoring game.

SSV Jeddeloh vs Hertha BSC: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	SSV Jeddeloh	Draw	Hertha BSC
Model	10%	17%	73%
Market	4%	7%	90%
Published	5%	9%	86%
Edge	+2%	+2%	-4%

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.66 vs 0.94.
Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.07, recorded 2026-10-23 — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.4% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

SSV Jeddeloh vs Hertha BSC odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Hertha BSC, 5 snapshots since 2026-10-21.

Opened 1.04Now 1.04 +0.00

Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
Selection	First	Latest	Move
SSV Jeddeloh	26.00	26.00	+0.00
Draw	14.00	14.00	+0.00
Hertha BSC	1.04	1.04	+0.00

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

SSV Jeddeloh and Hertha BSC expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.94SSV Jeddeloh

2.66Hertha BSC

Total expected goals: 3.60
Attack rating (SSV Jeddeloh / Hertha BSC): 1.29 / 0.98
Defence rating (SSV Jeddeloh / Hertha BSC): 1.02 / 0.75

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

SSV Jeddeloh vs Hertha BSC score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 3.4% 6.6% 9.7% 8.6% 10.8% 1 1.9% 7.5% 9.1% 8.1% 10.2% 2 1.2% 3.2% 4.3% 3.8% 4.8% 3 0.4% 1.0% 1.3% 1.2% 1.5% 4+ 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.4%

Rows: SSV Jeddeloh goals. Columns: Hertha BSC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

SSV Jeddeloh vs Hertha BSC goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 97%

Over 1.5 88%

Over 2.5 70%

Over 3.5 49%

Both teams to score: 57%
No goals (0–0): 3%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for SSV Jeddeloh vs Hertha BSC

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	SSV Jeddeloh	5%	19.07
	Draw	9%	10.93
	Hertha BSC	86%	1.17
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	70%	1.43
	Under 2.5	30%	3.31
Both teams to score	Yes	57%	1.74
	No	43%	2.35
Double chance	1X (SSV Jeddeloh or draw)	14%	6.95
	12 (either side)	91%	1.10
	X2 (draw or Hertha BSC)	95%	1.06
Handicap -1	Hertha BSC win by 2+	53%	1.89
	Push (exactly one goal)	20%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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