Virtus Entella vs Juve Stabia Prediction & Betting Tips 10/10/2026

Virtus Entella vs Juve Stabia preview

In the Serie B fixture between Virtus Entella and Juve Stabia, the model gives Virtus Entella a 49% chance to win, while Juve Stabia has a 22% chance. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which occurs 12% of the time. The expected goals show Virtus Entella at 1.72 and Juve Stabia at 0.84, indicating a potential low-scoring match.

While 47% of the time there could be Over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, the recent form suggests a tight contest. Virtus Entella's last five matches include three draws, while Juve Stabia has two draws and three losses. This form could lead to an unexpected outcome, making the match less predictable.

Virtus Entella vs Juve Stabia: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Virtus Entella	Draw	Juve Stabia
Model	57%	26%	17%
Market	46%	30%	24%
Published	49%	29%	22%
Edge	+11%	-4%	-7%

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.72 vs 0.84.
The market prices Virtus Entella below the model: +10.7 percentage points of edge.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.07, recorded 2026-10-06 — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.

Virtus Entella vs Juve Stabia odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Virtus Entella, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-04.

Opened 2.00Now 2.00 +0.00

Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
Selection	First	Latest	Move
Virtus Entella	2.00	2.00	+0.00
Draw	3.10	3.10	+0.00
Juve Stabia	3.95	3.95	+0.00

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Virtus Entella and Juve Stabia expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.72Virtus Entella

0.84Juve Stabia

Total expected goals: 2.56
Attack rating (Virtus Entella / Juve Stabia): 1.02 / 0.81
Defence rating (Virtus Entella / Juve Stabia): 0.96 / 1.15

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Virtus Entella vs Juve Stabia score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 8.8% 5.4% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 1 12.2% 12.3% 4.7% 1.3% 0.3% 2 11.4% 9.6% 4.0% 1.1% 0.3% 3 6.6% 5.5% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 4+ 4.2% 3.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%

Rows: Virtus Entella goals. Columns: Juve Stabia goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Virtus Entella vs Juve Stabia goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 91%

Over 1.5 74%

Over 2.5 47%

Over 3.5 26%

Both teams to score: 48%
No goals (0–0): 9%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Virtus Entella vs Juve Stabia

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Virtus Entella	49%	2.03
	Draw	29%	3.45
	Juve Stabia	22%	4.57
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	47%	2.12
	Under 2.5	53%	1.89
Both teams to score	Yes	48%	2.09
	No	52%	1.92
Double chance	1X (Virtus Entella or draw)	78%	1.28
	12 (either side)	71%	1.41
	X2 (draw or Juve Stabia)	51%	1.97
Handicap -1	Virtus Entella win by 2+	33%	3.05
	Push (exactly one goal)	24%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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