Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe preview
Kashiwa Reysol hosts Vissel Kobe in the J1 League, with model 1X2 probabilities showing Kashiwa Reysol at 41%, a draw at 28%, and Vissel Kobe at 31%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a probability of 8%. Both teams to score has a 55% chance, while Over 2.5 goals stands at 49%.
Kashiwa Reysol's recent form includes three wins and two losses in their last six matches, while Vissel Kobe has won all six of their recent games. The expected goals are 1.28 for Kashiwa Reysol and 1.37 for Vissel Kobe. The confidence grade is C, indicating that the probabilities are blended with market odds, reflecting uncertainty in the match outcome.
Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe: model vs market
| Source | Kashiwa Reysol | Draw | Vissel Kobe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34% | 29% | 38% |
| Market | 44% | 28% | 29% |
| Published | 41% | 28% | 31% |
| Edge | -10% | +1% | +9% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.17, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Kashiwa Reysol, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kashiwa Reysol | 2.15 | 2.15 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.40 | 3.40 | +0.00 |
| Vissel Kobe | 3.25 | 3.25 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Kashiwa Reysol and Vissel Kobe expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.65
- Attack rating (Kashiwa Reysol / Vissel Kobe)
- 1.57 / 1.11
- Defence rating (Kashiwa Reysol / Vissel Kobe)
- 0.94 / 0.57
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Kashiwa Reysol goals. Columns: Vissel Kobe goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 55%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 41% | 2.43 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.59 | |
| Vissel Kobe | 31% | 3.22 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49% | 2.03 |
| Under 2.5 | 51% | 1.97 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 1.82 |
| No | 45% | 2.22 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Kashiwa Reysol or draw) | 69% | 1.45 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or Vissel Kobe) | 59% | 1.70 | |
| Handicap -1 | Kashiwa Reysol win by 2+ | 15% | 6.59 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Kashiwa Reysol and Vissel Kobe recent form
Kashiwa Reysol
4W 0D 2L
Vissel Kobe
6W 0D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Kashiwa Reysol at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Vissel Kobe away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.25
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 4
- They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Kashiwa Reysol at home only, Vissel Kobe away only.
Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Kashiwa Reysol 3 · draws 4 · Vissel Kobe 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-12 | Vissel Kobe | 0-0 | Kashiwa Reysol | J1 League |
| 2025-05-31 | Kashiwa Reysol | 1-3 | Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
| 2024-11-30 | Kashiwa Reysol | 1-1 | Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
| 2024-08-21 | Kashiwa Reysol | 0-1 | Vissel Kobe | Emperor Cup |
| 2024-03-02 | Vissel Kobe | 0-1 | Kashiwa Reysol | J1 League |
| 2023-08-19 | Vissel Kobe | 1-1 | Kashiwa Reysol | J1 League |
| 2023-05-20 | Kashiwa Reysol | 1-1 | Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
| 2022-07-30 | Vissel Kobe | 0-1 | Kashiwa Reysol | J1 League |
| 2022-07-13 | Vissel Kobe | 2-1 | Kashiwa Reysol | Emperor Cup |
| 2022-06-18 | Kashiwa Reysol | 3-1 | Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
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