Club Queretaro vs Atlante FC preview
The match between Club Queretaro and Atlante FC features a 49% probability for a home win according to the model. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 13% chance. Club Queretaro's expected goals stand at 1.65, while Atlante FC's is 0.81.
However, the potential for a draw at 27% and the 46% chance for both teams to score could challenge the outcome. Recent form shows Club Queretaro with three wins in their last six matches, while Atlante FC has struggled, recording only one win in their last six. The confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Club Queretaro vs Atlante FC: model vs market
| Source | Club Queretaro | Draw | Atlante FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56% | 27% | 17% |
| Market | 46% | 27% | 27% |
| Published | 49% | 27% | 24% |
| Edge | +10% | -1% | -9% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.65 vs 0.81.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Club Queretaro below the model: +10.0 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.09, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
Club Queretaro vs Atlante FC odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Club Queretaro, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Club Queretaro | 2.00 | 2.00 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.36 | 3.36 | +0.00 |
| Atlante FC | 3.47 | 3.47 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Club Queretaro and Atlante FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.46
- Attack rating (Club Queretaro / Atlante FC)
- 0.90 / 0.85
- Defence rating (Club Queretaro / Atlante FC)
- 0.77 / 1.10
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Club Queretaro vs Atlante FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Club Queretaro goals. Columns: Atlante FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Club Queretaro vs Atlante FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 46%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Club Queretaro vs Atlante FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club Queretaro | 49% | 2.06 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.67 | |
| Atlante FC | 24% | 4.13 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45% | 2.24 |
| Under 2.5 | 55% | 1.81 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46% | 2.17 |
| No | 54% | 1.86 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Club Queretaro or draw) | 76% | 1.32 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or Atlante FC) | 51% | 1.94 | |
| Handicap -1 | Club Queretaro win by 2+ | 31% | 3.19 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Club Queretaro and Atlante FC recent form
Club Queretaro
3W 2D 1L
Atlante FC
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Club Queretaro at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Atlante FC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Club Queretaro at home only, Atlante FC away only.
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