Buducnost Podgorica vs Mornar preview
Buducnost Podgorica faces Mornar with a 47% chance of winning compared to Mornar's 25%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 10% probability. Buducnost Podgorica has shown strong recent form, going D-W-D-W-W-W, while Mornar has W-W-D-D-L-L.
The expected goals suggest Buducnost Podgorica will score 1.55 and Mornar 1.06. With Over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 53%, there is potential for more action. However, if Mornar improves their attack or Buducnost Podgorica's defense falters, the outcome could differ from expectations.
Buducnost Podgorica vs Mornar: model vs market
| Source | Buducnost Podgorica | Draw | Mornar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47% | 28% | 25% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 47% | 28% | 25% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 1.06.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Buducnost Podgorica and Mornar expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.61
- Attack rating (Buducnost Podgorica / Mornar)
- 1.17 / 1.33
- Defence rating (Buducnost Podgorica / Mornar)
- 0.80 / 0.98
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Buducnost Podgorica vs Mornar score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Buducnost Podgorica goals. Columns: Mornar goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Buducnost Podgorica vs Mornar goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 53%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Buducnost Podgorica vs Mornar
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Buducnost Podgorica | 47% | 2.11 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.60 | |
| Mornar | 25% | 4.03 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48% | 2.06 |
| Under 2.5 | 52% | 1.94 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 1.89 |
| No | 47% | 2.12 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Buducnost Podgorica or draw) | 75% | 1.33 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or Mornar) | 53% | 1.90 | |
| Handicap -1 | Buducnost Podgorica win by 2+ | 25% | 4.02 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Buducnost Podgorica and Mornar recent form
Buducnost Podgorica
4W 2D 0L
Mornar
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Buducnost Podgorica at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 6
- They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Mornar away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.17
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 12 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Buducnost Podgorica at home only, Mornar away only.
Buducnost Podgorica vs Mornar head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Buducnost Podgorica 5 · draws 2 · Mornar 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Mornar | 2-1 | Buducnost Podgorica | Montenegro First League |
| 2026-05-16 | Buducnost Podgorica | 0-0 | Mornar | Montenegro First League |
| 2026-03-15 | Mornar | 3-0 | Buducnost Podgorica | Montenegro First League |
| 2025-11-22 | Buducnost Podgorica | 2-0 | Mornar | Montenegro First League |
| 2025-09-17 | Mornar | 1-1 | Buducnost Podgorica | Montenegro First League |
| 2025-05-04 | Buducnost Podgorica | 3-0 | Mornar | First League |
| 2025-03-08 | Mornar | 1-2 | Buducnost Podgorica | First League |
| 2024-10-27 | Buducnost Podgorica | 0-1 | Mornar | First League |
| 2024-08-25 | Mornar | 0-2 | Buducnost Podgorica | First League |
| 2024-06-19 | Buducnost Podgorica | 4-2 | Mornar | Friendlies Clubs |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
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- Petrovac vs Mladost DG 2026-10-28
- Sutjeska vs Jezero — team news & stats 2026-10-29
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Before and after this match
- Buducnost Podgorica, previous: Buducnost Podgorica v Arsenal Tivat analysis
- Buducnost Podgorica, next: Bokelj – Buducnost Podgorica, 2026-11-01
- Mornar, previous: Mornar vs Mladost DG: odds and pick
- Mornar, next: Mornar vs Petrovac prediction