Dečić vs Otrant-Olympic preview
In the Montenegro First League fixture, Dečić faces Otrant-Olympic with 1X2 probabilities showing Dečić at 26%, a draw at 30%, and Otrant-Olympic at 44%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring at 11%.
Dečić's expected goals stand at 1.02, while Otrant-Olympic has 1.38. Both teams to score is at 49%, and there's a 43% chance for Over 2.5 goals. Dečić's recent form shows 5 matches without a win (L-L-D-L-D-L), while Otrant-Olympic has 3 wins in their last 5 (D-W-D-W-W-L). A surprising performance from Dečić or a lack of goals from Otrant-Olympic could alter the expected outcome.
Dečić vs Otrant-Olympic: model vs market
| Source | Dečić | Draw | Otrant-Olympic |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26% | 30% | 44% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 26% | 30% | 44% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.38 vs 1.02.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Dečić and Otrant-Olympic expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.40
- Attack rating (Dečić / Otrant-Olympic)
- 0.71 / 1.41
- Defence rating (Dečić / Otrant-Olympic)
- 0.98 / 1.05
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Dečić vs Otrant-Olympic score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Dečić goals. Columns: Otrant-Olympic goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Dečić vs Otrant-Olympic goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 49%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Dečić vs Otrant-Olympic
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dečić | 26% | 3.79 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.37 | |
| Otrant-Olympic | 44% | 2.28 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43% | 2.33 |
| Under 2.5 | 57% | 1.75 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49% | 2.04 |
| No | 51% | 1.96 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Dečić or draw) | 56% | 1.78 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.42 | |
| X2 (draw or Otrant-Olympic) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| Handicap -1 | Otrant-Olympic win by 2+ | 21% | 4.65 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Dečić and Otrant-Olympic recent form
Dečić
0W 2D 4L
Otrant-Olympic
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Dečić at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 0.83
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Otrant-Olympic away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-2
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.5 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Dečić at home only, Otrant-Olympic away only.
Dečić vs Otrant-Olympic head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Dečić 5 · draws 4 · Otrant-Olympic 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Otrant-Olympic | 0-3 | Dečić | Montenegro First League |
| 2026-05-06 | Dečić | 1-0 | Otrant-Olympic | Cup |
| 2026-04-22 | Otrant-Olympic | 1-2 | Dečić | Cup |
| 2025-05-04 | Dečić | 2-2 | Otrant-Olympic | First League |
| 2025-03-08 | Otrant-Olympic | 2-0 | Dečić | First League |
| 2024-10-27 | Dečić | 0-0 | Otrant-Olympic | First League |
| 2024-08-25 | Otrant-Olympic | 2-2 | Dečić | First League |
| 2020-06-28 | Dečić | 4-0 | Otrant-Olympic | Second League |
| 2020-03-01 | Otrant-Olympic | 1-1 | Dečić | Second League |
| 2019-10-06 | Dečić | 2-1 | Otrant-Olympic | Second League |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Buducnost Podgorica v Mornar — match page 2026-10-27
- Arsenal Tivat v Bokelj — match page 2026-10-28
- Petrovac vs Mladost DG 2026-10-28
- Sutjeska vs Jezero — team news & stats 2026-10-29
Before and after this match
- Dečić, previous: Bokelj vs Dečić prediction
- Dečić, next: Jezero v Dečić analysis
- Otrant-Olympic, previous: Otrant-Olympic v Sutjeska analysis
- Otrant-Olympic, next: Otrant-Olympic vs Arsenal Tivat: odds and pick