Petrovac vs Mladost DG preview
In the Montenegro First League fixture, Petrovac has a 55% chance to win against Mladost DG, who have a 20% chance. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.83 for Petrovac and 1.04 for Mladost DG. Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are both at 55%, indicating a strong possibility of an eventful match.
Petrovac's recent form shows 1 win in their last 6 matches, while Mladost DG has only 1 win in their last 6 as well. This inconsistency could affect the outcome, making it possible for Mladost DG to surprise despite their lower win probability. The confidence grade is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the predictions.
Petrovac vs Mladost DG: model vs market
| Source | Petrovac | Draw | Mladost DG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55% | 25% | 20% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 55% | 25% | 20% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 1.04.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Petrovac and Mladost DG expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.87
- Attack rating (Petrovac / Mladost DG)
- 0.96 / 0.87
- Defence rating (Petrovac / Mladost DG)
- 1.20 / 1.40
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Petrovac vs Mladost DG score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Petrovac goals. Columns: Mladost DG goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Petrovac vs Mladost DG goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 55%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Petrovac vs Mladost DG
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Petrovac | 55% | 1.82 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.01 | |
| Mladost DG | 20% | 4.95 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55% | 1.82 |
| Under 2.5 | 45% | 2.21 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 1.80 |
| No | 45% | 2.24 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Petrovac or draw) | 80% | 1.25 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Mladost DG) | 45% | 2.21 | |
| Handicap -1 | Petrovac win by 2+ | 32% | 3.12 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Petrovac and Mladost DG recent form
Petrovac
1W 2D 3L
Mladost DG
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Petrovac at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-3
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 1.17
- Goals against / match
- 1.17
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
Mladost DG away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-4
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 0.83
- Goals against / match
- 2.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Petrovac at home only, Mladost DG away only.
Petrovac vs Mladost DG head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Petrovac 5 · draws 2 · Mladost DG 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Petrovac | 0-1 | Mladost DG | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2026-08-22 | Mladost DG | 0-0 | Petrovac | Montenegro First League |
| 2026-05-10 | Mladost DG | 1-0 | Petrovac | Montenegro First League |
| 2026-03-11 | Petrovac | 3-1 | Mladost DG | Montenegro First League |
| 2025-11-09 | Mladost DG | 1-0 | Petrovac | Montenegro First League |
| 2025-09-13 | Petrovac | 4-0 | Mladost DG | Montenegro First League |
| 2024-11-06 | Petrovac | 2-0 | Mladost DG | Cup |
| 2024-04-08 | Mladost DG | 0-0 | Petrovac | First League |
| 2024-02-17 | Petrovac | 3-2 | Mladost DG | First League |
| 2023-10-01 | Mladost DG | 0-2 | Petrovac | First League |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Buducnost Podgorica v Mornar — match page 2026-10-27
- Arsenal Tivat v Bokelj — match page 2026-10-28
- Sutjeska vs Jezero — team news & stats 2026-10-29
- Dečić vs Otrant-Olympic — team news & stats 2026-10-29
Before and after this match
- Petrovac, previous: Jezero – Petrovac, 2026-10-23
- Petrovac, next: Mornar vs Petrovac prediction
- Mladost DG, previous: Mornar vs Mladost DG: odds and pick
- Mladost DG, next: Mladost DG vs Sutjeska prediction