Updated

Eredivisie · Matchday 11

Cambuur vs GO Ahead Eagles

· Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden

Alin prediction GO Ahead Eagles to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 1 – 2

5% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
CambuurDrawGO Ahead Eagles
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — GO Ahead Eagles is the favourite, not a value bet.
Best market odds
Cambuur3.01 Draw4.03 GO Ahead Eagles2.20

Price as of

Expected return at 2.20: -13.2% per unit staked

Cambuur vs GO Ahead Eagles preview

In the Eredivisie fixture between Cambuur and GO Ahead Eagles, the 1X2 probabilities show Cambuur at 37%, a draw at 23%, and GO Ahead Eagles at 40%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with an expected goals tally of 2.66 for Cambuur and 1.87 for GO Ahead Eagles.

The model indicates a high likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 83% and both teams to score at 79%. However, the confidence grade is C, suggesting that unexpected outcomes could occur, such as a low-scoring match or a draw, which would deviate from the predicted scoreline.

Cambuur vs GO Ahead Eagles: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceCambuurDrawGO Ahead Eagles
Model54%19%26%
Market32%24%44%
Published38%23%39%
Edge+6%-1%-4%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.20, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -13.2% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Cambuur vs GO Ahead Eagles odds movement

Median bookmaker price on GO Ahead Eagles, 14 snapshots since 2026-10-20.

Opened 2.00Now 2.15 +0.15
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Cambuur3.172.95-0.23
Draw3.833.90+0.07
GO Ahead Eagles2.002.15+0.15

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Cambuur and GO Ahead Eagles expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.66Cambuur
1.88GO Ahead Eagles
Total expected goals
4.54
Attack rating (Cambuur / GO Ahead Eagles)
1.16 / 1.14
Defence rating (Cambuur / GO Ahead Eagles)
1.08 / 1.28

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Cambuur vs GO Ahead Eagles score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 1.6% 1.5% 1.9% 1.2% 0.9% 1 2.3% 5.9% 5.0% 3.1% 2.3% 2 3.8% 7.1% 6.7% 4.2% 3.0% 3 3.4% 6.3% 5.9% 3.7% 2.7% 4+ 4.2% 8.0% 7.5% 4.7% 3.4%

Rows: Cambuur goals. Columns: GO Ahead Eagles goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Cambuur vs GO Ahead Eagles goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 98%
Over 1.5 95%
Over 2.5 83%
Over 3.5 66%
Both teams to score
79%
No goals (0–0)
2%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Cambuur vs GO Ahead Eagles

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Cambuur38%2.66
Draw23%4.36
GO Ahead Eagles39%2.53
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.583%1.20
Under 2.517%5.90
Both teams to scoreYes79%1.26
No21%4.83
Double chance1X (Cambuur or draw)61%1.65
12 (either side)77%1.30
X2 (draw or GO Ahead Eagles)62%1.60
Handicap -1GO Ahead Eagles win by 2+13%7.43
Push (exactly one goal)13%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites
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Cambuur and GO Ahead Eagles recent form

Cambuur 3W 3D 0L
GO Ahead Eagles 1W 4D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Cambuur at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-3
Win rate
20%
Goals for / match
1.60
Goals against / match
3.00
Clean sheets
1 of 5
  • They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

GO Ahead Eagles away

Record (W-D-L)
0-3-2
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
1.80
Goals against / match
3.00
Clean sheets
0 of 5
  • They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.

League matches this season before kick-off: Cambuur at home only, GO Ahead Eagles away only.

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot GO Ahead Eagles to win Predicted score 1 – 2 C Bet on GO Ahead Eagles