PEC Zwolle vs GO Ahead Eagles preview
In the Eredivisie fixture between PEC Zwolle and GO Ahead Eagles, the 1X2 probabilities show PEC Zwolle at 26% and GO Ahead Eagles at 50%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.27 for PEC Zwolle and 2.56 for GO Ahead Eagles.
Both teams to score stands at 67%, while Over 2.5 goals is at a high 74%. PEC Zwolle's recent form shows 4 losses in their last 5 matches, while GO Ahead Eagles have drawn 4 of their last 5. This recent form could impact the match's outcome, as PEC Zwolle has not won against GO Ahead Eagles in their last 2 encounters.
PEC Zwolle vs GO Ahead Eagles: model vs market
| Source | PEC Zwolle | Draw | GO Ahead Eagles |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 17% | 19% | 64% |
| Market | 27% | 25% | 48% |
| Published | 25% | 23% | 52% |
| Edge | -11% | -6% | +16% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.56 vs 1.27.
- The market prices GO Ahead Eagles below the model: +16.3 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.02, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update.
PEC Zwolle vs GO Ahead Eagles odds movement
Median bookmaker price on GO Ahead Eagles, 24 snapshots since 2026-10-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| PEC Zwolle | 2.75 | 3.45 | +0.70 |
| Draw | 3.80 | 3.80 | +0.00 |
| GO Ahead Eagles | 2.27 | 1.94 | -0.33 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
PEC Zwolle and GO Ahead Eagles expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.83
- Attack rating (PEC Zwolle / GO Ahead Eagles)
- 0.61 / 1.16
- Defence rating (PEC Zwolle / GO Ahead Eagles)
- 1.48 / 1.16
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
PEC Zwolle vs GO Ahead Eagles score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: PEC Zwolle goals. Columns: GO Ahead Eagles goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
PEC Zwolle vs GO Ahead Eagles goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 67%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for PEC Zwolle vs GO Ahead Eagles
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | PEC Zwolle | 25% | 4.08 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.30 | |
| GO Ahead Eagles | 52% | 1.91 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74% | 1.36 |
| Under 2.5 | 26% | 3.78 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67% | 1.49 |
| No | 33% | 3.04 | |
| Double chance | 1X (PEC Zwolle or draw) | 48% | 2.09 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or GO Ahead Eagles) | 75% | 1.32 | |
| Handicap -1 | GO Ahead Eagles win by 2+ | 44% | 2.27 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
PEC Zwolle and GO Ahead Eagles recent form
PEC Zwolle
1W 1D 4L
GO Ahead Eagles
1W 4D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
PEC Zwolle at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.25
- Goals against / match
- 3.25
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
GO Ahead Eagles away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-3-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.75
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
League matches this season before kick-off: PEC Zwolle at home only, GO Ahead Eagles away only.
PEC Zwolle vs GO Ahead Eagles head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: PEC Zwolle 0 · draws 0 · GO Ahead Eagles 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | GO Ahead Eagles | 5-0 | PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
| 2025-09-21 | PEC Zwolle | 0-2 | GO Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Heerenveen vs Excelsior — team news & stats 2026-10-16
- ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven 2026-10-17
- Telstar vs Feyenoord — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II 2026-10-17
- Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar 2026-10-18
- Groningen v Ajax — match page 2026-10-18
- NEC Nijmegen v Fortuna Sittard — match page 2026-10-18
- Twente vs Utrecht — team news & stats 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- PEC Zwolle, previous: PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur: odds and pick
- PEC Zwolle, next: PEC Zwolle vs FC OSS prediction
- GO Ahead Eagles, previous: GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam: odds and pick
- GO Ahead Eagles, next: Koninklijke HFC vs GO Ahead Eagles: odds and pick