Telstar vs Feyenoord preview
In the Eredivisie fixture between Telstar and Feyenoord, the 1X2 probabilities show Feyenoord at 69%, compared to Telstar's 13%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 10% chance according to our model. Feyenoord's expected goals stand at 2.26, while Telstar's is 1.06, suggesting a clear attacking advantage for the visitors.
However, Telstar's recent form includes 4 matches without a win, while Feyenoord has won 3 of their last 5. The model indicates a 64% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance for both teams to score. If Telstar can improve their performance, the outcome may differ from the predictions.
Telstar vs Feyenoord: model vs market
| Source | Telstar | Draw | Feyenoord |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16% | 21% | 63% |
| Market | 12% | 17% | 71% |
| Published | 13% | 18% | 69% |
| Edge | +4% | +4% | -8% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.26 vs 1.06.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.35, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update.
Telstar vs Feyenoord odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Feyenoord, 24 snapshots since 2026-10-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Telstar | 7.50 | 7.75 | +0.25 |
| Draw | 5.50 | 5.59 | +0.09 |
| Feyenoord | 1.33 | 1.31 | -0.02 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Telstar and Feyenoord expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.32
- Attack rating (Telstar / Feyenoord)
- 0.79 / 1.57
- Defence rating (Telstar / Feyenoord)
- 0.96 / 0.75
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Telstar vs Feyenoord score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Telstar goals. Columns: Feyenoord goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Telstar vs Feyenoord goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 59%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Telstar vs Feyenoord
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Telstar | 13% | 7.73 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.65 | |
| Feyenoord | 69% | 1.44 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64% | 1.55 |
| Under 2.5 | 36% | 2.81 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59% | 1.68 |
| No | 41% | 2.46 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Telstar or draw) | 31% | 3.26 |
| 12 (either side) | 82% | 1.22 | |
| X2 (draw or Feyenoord) | 87% | 1.15 | |
| Handicap -1 | Feyenoord win by 2+ | 42% | 2.41 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Telstar and Feyenoord recent form
Telstar
0W 3D 3L
Feyenoord
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Telstar at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 2.75
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Feyenoord away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 4.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 3.6 goals per match.
- They average 4.0 goals per game on the road against 3.0 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Telstar at home only, Feyenoord away only.
Telstar vs Feyenoord head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Telstar 0 · draws 0 · Feyenoord 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22 | Feyenoord | 2-1 | Telstar | Eredivisie |
| 2025-11-30 | Telstar | 1-2 | Feyenoord | Eredivisie |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
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- ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven 2026-10-17
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- PEC Zwolle v GO Ahead Eagles — match page 2026-10-18
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- NEC Nijmegen v Fortuna Sittard — match page 2026-10-18
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Before and after this match
- Telstar, previous: Telstar vs ADO Den Haag prediction
- Telstar, next: Telstar vs Almere City FC prediction
- Feyenoord, previous: Feyenoord vs Como prediction
- Feyenoord, next: Real Betis – Feyenoord, 2026-10-21