PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord preview
PSV Eindhoven faces Feyenoord with 48% chances to win compared to Feyenoord's 30%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which occurs with a 7% probability. PSV Eindhoven's expected goals stand at 2.30, while Feyenoord's is slightly lower at 2.10.
While PSV Eindhoven has won both of their last two meetings against Feyenoord, their recent form shows a mixed bag with L-L-W-L-W-D. Feyenoord, on the other hand, has a stronger recent performance with four wins followed by one loss. The match could see Over 2.5 goals at 82% and both teams to score at 80%, but if PSV's form dips or Feyenoord's streak continues, the outcome could differ from expectations.
PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord: model vs market
| Source | PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Feyenoord |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43% | 21% | 36% |
| Market | 49% | 22% | 28% |
| Published | 48% | 22% | 30% |
| Edge | -6% | -2% | +8% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.97, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord odds movement
Median bookmaker price on PSV Eindhoven, 16 snapshots since 2026-10-12.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven | 1.87 | 1.90 | +0.03 |
| Draw | 4.12 | 4.18 | +0.05 |
| Feyenoord | 3.37 | 3.29 | -0.08 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
PSV Eindhoven and Feyenoord expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.40
- Attack rating (PSV Eindhoven / Feyenoord)
- 1.39 / 1.68
- Defence rating (PSV Eindhoven / Feyenoord)
- 0.83 / 0.91
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: PSV Eindhoven goals. Columns: Feyenoord goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 80%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | PSV Eindhoven | 48% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.54 | |
| Feyenoord | 30% | 3.29 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 81% | 1.23 |
| Under 2.5 | 19% | 5.38 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 80% | 1.26 |
| No | 20% | 4.88 | |
| Double chance | 1X (PSV Eindhoven or draw) | 70% | 1.44 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.28 | |
| X2 (draw or Feyenoord) | 52% | 1.91 | |
| Handicap -1 | PSV Eindhoven win by 2+ | 26% | 3.91 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
PSV Eindhoven and Feyenoord recent form
PSV Eindhoven
2W 1D 3L
Feyenoord
5W 0D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
PSV Eindhoven at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-0
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 3.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 3.2 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
Feyenoord away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 4.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 3.4 goals per match.
- They average 4.0 goals per game on the road against 2.8 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: PSV Eindhoven at home only, Feyenoord away only.
PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: PSV Eindhoven 2 · draws 0 · Feyenoord 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-01 | PSV Eindhoven | 3-0 | Feyenoord | Eredivisie |
| 2025-10-26 | Feyenoord | 2-3 | PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie |
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Before and after this match
- PSV Eindhoven, previous: FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven: odds and pick
- PSV Eindhoven, next: PSV Eindhoven – Club Brugge KV, 2026-11-04
- Feyenoord, previous: Real Betis – Feyenoord, 2026-10-21
- Feyenoord, next: Feyenoord v Inter analysis