GO Ahead Eagles vs Telstar preview
In the Eredivisie fixture between GO Ahead Eagles and Telstar, the 1X2 probabilities show GO Ahead Eagles at 59%, while Telstar sits at 19%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, with a 9% chance. Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals each have a 65% probability according to our model.
GO Ahead Eagles have recently drawn four matches and won one, while Telstar has not won in their last six, with five draws. Historically, in their last three encounters, GO Ahead Eagles have not won, with Telstar winning twice. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
GO Ahead Eagles vs Telstar: model vs market
| Source | GO Ahead Eagles | Draw | Telstar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50% | 22% | 28% |
| Market | 59% | 22% | 19% |
| Published | 57% | 22% | 21% |
| Edge | -10% | 0% | +10% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.21 vs 1.66.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.61, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
GO Ahead Eagles vs Telstar odds movement
Median bookmaker price on GO Ahead Eagles, 17 snapshots since 2026-10-11.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| GO Ahead Eagles | 1.50 | 1.56 | +0.06 |
| Draw | 4.33 | 4.22 | -0.11 |
| Telstar | 5.50 | 5.03 | -0.47 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
GO Ahead Eagles and Telstar expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.87
- Attack rating (GO Ahead Eagles / Telstar)
- 1.11 / 0.87
- Defence rating (GO Ahead Eagles / Telstar)
- 1.27 / 1.10
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
GO Ahead Eagles vs Telstar score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: GO Ahead Eagles goals. Columns: Telstar goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
GO Ahead Eagles vs Telstar goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 73%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for GO Ahead Eagles vs Telstar
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | GO Ahead Eagles | 57% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.55 | |
| Telstar | 21% | 4.76 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74% | 1.35 |
| Under 2.5 | 26% | 3.89 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73% | 1.37 |
| No | 27% | 3.69 | |
| Double chance | 1X (GO Ahead Eagles or draw) | 79% | 1.27 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.28 | |
| X2 (draw or Telstar) | 43% | 2.33 | |
| Handicap -1 | GO Ahead Eagles win by 2+ | 30% | 3.30 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 | 100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
GO Ahead Eagles and Telstar recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
GO Ahead Eagles at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 2.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
Telstar away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: GO Ahead Eagles at home only, Telstar away only.
GO Ahead Eagles vs Telstar head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: GO Ahead Eagles 0 · draws 1 · Telstar 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | GO Ahead Eagles | 1-1 | Telstar | Eredivisie |
| 2026-02-05 | Telstar | 2-1 | GO Ahead Eagles | KNVB Beker |
| 2025-09-28 | Telstar | 4-2 | GO Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie |
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Before and after this match
- GO Ahead Eagles, previous: PEC Zwolle vs GO Ahead Eagles: odds and pick
- GO Ahead Eagles, next: Koninklijke HFC vs GO Ahead Eagles: odds and pick
- Telstar, previous: Telstar – Feyenoord, 2026-10-17
- Telstar, next: Telstar vs Almere City FC prediction