Juan Pablo II College vs Sport Boys preview
In the fixture between Juan Pablo II College and Sport Boys, the 1X2 probabilities show Juan Pablo II College at 43% to win, while Sport Boys stands at 27%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which has a 12% chance of occurring. Juan Pablo II College has an expected goals figure of 1.34 compared to Sport Boys' 1.00, indicating a stronger attacking potential.
However, the match could deviate from this prediction. Both teams to score has a 48% probability, suggesting that there is a reasonable chance Sport Boys could find the net. Additionally, with recent form showing both teams are capable of winning, the outcome remains uncertain, reflected in the confidence grade of C.
Juan Pablo II College vs Sport Boys: model vs market
| Source | Juan Pablo II College | Draw | Sport Boys |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51% | 27% | 22% |
| Market | 42% | 28% | 30% |
| Published | 45% | 28% | 28% |
| Edge | +9% | 0% | -8% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.61 vs 0.97.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices Juan Pablo II College below the model: +8.8 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.28, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update.
Juan Pablo II College vs Sport Boys odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Juan Pablo II College, 12 snapshots since 2026-10-12.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Pablo II College | 2.10 | 2.18 | +0.08 |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.34 | +0.09 |
| Sport Boys | 3.22 | 3.08 | -0.14 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Juan Pablo II College and Sport Boys expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.58
- Attack rating (Juan Pablo II College / Sport Boys)
- 1.30 / 0.94
- Defence rating (Juan Pablo II College / Sport Boys)
- 0.97 / 0.77
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Juan Pablo II College vs Sport Boys score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Juan Pablo II College goals. Columns: Sport Boys goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Juan Pablo II College vs Sport Boys goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 51%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Juan Pablo II College vs Sport Boys
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Juan Pablo II College | 45% | 2.24 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.63 | |
| Sport Boys | 28% | 3.59 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48% | 2.10 |
| Under 2.5 | 52% | 1.91 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51% | 1.97 |
| No | 49% | 2.03 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Juan Pablo II College or draw) | 72% | 1.39 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or Sport Boys) | 55% | 1.80 | |
| Handicap -1 | Juan Pablo II College win by 2+ | 28% | 3.61 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Juan Pablo II College and Sport Boys recent form
Juan Pablo II College
4W 2D 0L
Sport Boys
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Juan Pablo II College at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-5-4
- Win rate
- 36%
- Goals for / match
- 1.79
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 14
- They have won 9 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 9 of 9 penalties (100%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sport Boys away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-8
- Win rate
- 15%
- Goals for / match
- 0.77
- Goals against / match
- 1.46
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 13
- They have won 10 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 28 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Juan Pablo II College at home only, Sport Boys away only.
Expected lineups
Juan Pablo II College lineup · 4-4-2
- 23 M. Vega
- 19 P. Reyna
- 3 A. Sánchez
- 60 P. Míguez
- 31 J. Toledo
- 79 J. Goicochea
- 2 H. Ancajima
- 37 Á. Rojas
- 18 E. Ramírez
- 89 J. Pósito
- 15 N. Ramírez
Bench: A. Hendricks, C. Flores, I. Quispe, J. Carhuallanqui, H. Bazán, J. Durán, C. Villanueva, Eren Melih Doğan, M. RodrÃguez
Juan Pablo II College vs Sport Boys head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Juan Pablo II College 1 · draws 1 · Sport Boys 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Sport Boys | 1-1 | Juan Pablo II College | Peru Primera División |
| 2025-07-20 | Juan Pablo II College | 3-0 | Sport Boys | Peru Primera División |
| 2025-02-09 | Sport Boys | 1-0 | Juan Pablo II College | Peru Primera División |
Other Clausura - 12 fixtures
- Sport Huancayo vs Cusco — team news & stats 2026-10-16
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs ADT — team news & stats 2026-10-16
- FBC Melgar v Deportivo Garcilaso — match page 2026-10-17
- Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau 2026-10-18
- Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- FC Cajamarca v UCV Moquegua — match page 2026-10-18
- Alianza Atletico vs Universitario 2026-10-18
- Cienciano v UTC Cajamarca — match page 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Juan Pablo II College, previous: Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College prediction
- Sport Boys, previous: Sport Boys vs Alianza Atletico: odds and pick