Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla Plock preview
The fixture between Wieczysta Kraków and Wisla Plock shows Wieczysta Kraków with a 44% chance to win, compared to Wisla Plock's 30%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which has a 9% probability. Both teams to score stands at 67%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 66%, indicating a strong potential for an open match.
Recent form reveals Wieczysta Kraków struggling with six games without a win, recording four losses and two draws. In contrast, Wisla Plock has won three of their last five matches. This difference in form could impact the outcome, despite Wieczysta Kraków's home advantage. The confidence grade is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the predictions.
Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla Plock: model vs market
| Source | Wieczysta Kraków | Draw | Wisla Plock |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46% | 24% | 30% |
| Market | 43% | 26% | 31% |
| Published | 44% | 26% | 30% |
| Edge | +3% | -2% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.90 vs 1.50.
- The market prices Wieczysta Kraków below the model: +3.3 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.16, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla Plock odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Wieczysta Kraków, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wieczysta Kraków | 2.15 | 2.15 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.60 | 3.50 | -0.10 |
| Wisla Plock | 3.06 | 3.00 | -0.06 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Wieczysta Kraków and Wisla Plock expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.40
- Attack rating (Wieczysta Kraków / Wisla Plock)
- 1.08 / 0.97
- Defence rating (Wieczysta Kraków / Wisla Plock)
- 1.30 / 1.11
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla Plock score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Wieczysta Kraków goals. Columns: Wisla Plock goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla Plock goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 67%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Wieczysta Kraków vs Wisla Plock
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wieczysta Kraków | 44% | 2.29 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.88 | |
| Wisla Plock | 30% | 3.28 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66% | 1.51 |
| Under 2.5 | 34% | 2.95 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67% | 1.49 |
| No | 33% | 3.04 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Wieczysta Kraków or draw) | 70% | 1.44 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Wisla Plock) | 56% | 1.78 | |
| Handicap -1 | Wieczysta Kraków win by 2+ | 26% | 3.81 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Wieczysta Kraków and Wisla Plock recent form
Wieczysta Kraków
0W 2D 4L
Wisla Plock
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Wieczysta Kraków at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 2
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Wisla Plock away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Wieczysta Kraków at home only, Wisla Plock away only.
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