ŁKS Łódź vs Stal Rzeszów preview
In the fixture between ŁKS Łódź and Stal Rzeszów, the 1X2 probabilities show ŁKS Łódź at 41%, while Stal Rzeszów is at 29%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 10% chance. Both teams to score stands at 51%, indicating a decent likelihood of goals from both sides.
ŁKS Łódź has an expected goals figure of 1.35 compared to Stal Rzeszów's 1.09. Recent form shows ŁKS Łódź with 3 wins, 2 losses, and 1 draw, while Stal Rzeszów has 5 wins and 1 loss. The confidence grade is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the outcome. Factors like a sudden change in form or key player performances could influence these predictions.
ŁKS Łódź vs Stal Rzeszów: model vs market
| Source | ŁKS Łódź | Draw | Stal Rzeszów |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40% | 30% | 30% |
| Market | 55% | 24% | 21% |
| Published | 51% | 25% | 23% |
| Edge | -4% | +2% | +2% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.70, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -12.6% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
ŁKS Łódź and Stal Rzeszów expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.41
- Attack rating (ŁKS Łódź / Stal Rzeszów)
- 0.77 / 1.16
- Defence rating (ŁKS Łódź / Stal Rzeszów)
- 0.71 / 1.08
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
ŁKS Łódź vs Stal Rzeszów score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: ŁKS Łódź goals. Columns: Stal Rzeszów goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
ŁKS Łódź vs Stal Rzeszów goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 50%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for ŁKS Łódź vs Stal Rzeszów
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ŁKS Łódź | 51% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.95 | |
| Stal Rzeszów | 23% | 4.30 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43% | 2.31 |
| Under 2.5 | 57% | 1.76 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50% | 2.00 |
| No | 50% | 2.00 | |
| Double chance | 1X (ŁKS Łódź or draw) | 77% | 1.30 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Stal Rzeszów) | 49% | 2.06 | |
| Handicap -1 | ŁKS Łódź win by 2+ | 19% | 5.30 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
ŁKS Łódź and Stal Rzeszów recent form
ŁKS Łódź
3W 1D 2L
Stal Rzeszów
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
ŁKS Łódź at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-2
- Win rate
- 57%
- Goals for / match
- 1.57
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 7
- They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Stal Rzeszów away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-2-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.62
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 8
- They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: ŁKS Łódź at home only, Stal Rzeszów away only.
ŁKS Łódź vs Stal Rzeszów head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: ŁKS Łódź 2 · draws 0 · Stal Rzeszów 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | ŁKS Łódź | 2-1 | Stal Rzeszów | I Liga |
| 2025-10-18 | Stal Rzeszów | 1-4 | ŁKS Łódź | I Liga |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Puszcza Niepołomice v Miedz Legnica — match page 2026-11-06
- Odra Opole vs Unia Skierniewice 2026-11-06
- Arka Gdynia v Podbeskidzie — match page 2026-11-07
- Nieciecza vs Chrobry Głogów — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Warta Poznań vs Polonia Warszawa 2026-11-07
- Polonia Bytom vs Lechia Gdansk 2026-11-08
- Pogoń Siedlce vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Stal Mielec vs Ruch Chorzów — team news & stats 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- ŁKS Łódź, previous: ŁKS Łódź v Polonia Warszawa analysis
- Stal Rzeszów, previous: Stal Rzeszów vs Puszcza Niepołomice prediction