Odra Opole vs Unia Skierniewice preview
In the I Liga fixture between Odra Opole and Unia Skierniewice, the 1X2 probabilities show Odra Opole at 39%, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0 at 13%. Unia Skierniewice has a lower probability of 28%. Odra Opole's expected goals stand at 1.16, compared to Unia Skierniewice's 0.94, suggesting a tighter contest.
However, the match could deviate from this forecast. Both teams to score has a probability of 43%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 35%, indicating potential for more goals than anticipated. Recent form also plays a role, with Odra Opole's last six matches showing three losses, while Unia Skierniewice has two wins in their last six.
Odra Opole vs Unia Skierniewice: model vs market
| Source | Odra Opole | Draw | Unia Skierniewice |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35% | 31% | 34% |
| Market | 44% | 28% | 29% |
| Published | 41% | 29% | 30% |
| Edge | -2% | +1% | +1% |
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.15, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -11.0% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Odra Opole vs Unia Skierniewice odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Odra Opole, 4 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Odra Opole | 2.13 | 2.10 | -0.03 |
| Draw | 3.32 | 3.30 | -0.02 |
| Unia Skierniewice | 2.99 | 3.18 | +0.19 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Odra Opole and Unia Skierniewice expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.28
- Attack rating (Odra Opole / Unia Skierniewice)
- 0.62 / 0.90
- Defence rating (Odra Opole / Unia Skierniewice)
- 0.94 / 1.19
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Odra Opole vs Unia Skierniewice score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Odra Opole goals. Columns: Unia Skierniewice goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Odra Opole vs Unia Skierniewice goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 48%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Odra Opole vs Unia Skierniewice
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Odra Opole | 41% | 2.41 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.50 | |
| Unia Skierniewice | 30% | 3.33 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40% | 2.51 |
| Under 2.5 | 60% | 1.66 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48% | 2.10 |
| No | 52% | 1.91 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Odra Opole or draw) | 70% | 1.43 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.40 | |
| X2 (draw or Unia Skierniewice) | 59% | 1.71 | |
| Handicap -1 | Odra Opole win by 2+ | 15% | 6.63 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Odra Opole and Unia Skierniewice recent form
Odra Opole
2W 0D 4L
Unia Skierniewice
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Odra Opole at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-3
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 12 matches.
Unia Skierniewice away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-4
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.83
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Odra Opole at home only, Unia Skierniewice away only.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Puszcza Niepołomice v Miedz Legnica — match page 2026-11-06
- Arka Gdynia v Podbeskidzie — match page 2026-11-07
- Nieciecza vs Chrobry Głogów — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Warta Poznań vs Polonia Warszawa 2026-11-07
- Polonia Bytom vs Lechia Gdansk 2026-11-08
- ŁKS Łódź v Stal Rzeszów — match page 2026-11-08
- Pogoń Siedlce vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Stal Mielec vs Ruch Chorzów — team news & stats 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Odra Opole, previous: Polonia Bytom – Odra Opole, 2026-11-02
- Unia Skierniewice, previous: Lechia Gdansk vs Unia Skierniewice: odds and pick