Puszcza Niepołomice vs Miedz Legnica preview
In the fixture between Puszcza Niepołomice and Miedz Legnica, the 1X2 probabilities show Miedz Legnica at 40% to win, while Puszcza Niepołomice sits at 30%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which occurs at an 11% probability. Both teams to score stands at 49%, indicating a close contest, while Over 2.5 goals has a 42% chance.
Puszcza Niepołomice's recent form shows 2 wins in their last 6 matches, while Miedz Legnica has 2 draws in their last 6. Miedz Legnica has won both of the last two head-to-head encounters. If Puszcza Niepołomice can improve their scoring, it could change the dynamics of this match.
Puszcza Niepołomice vs Miedz Legnica: model vs market
| Source | Puszcza Niepołomice | Draw | Miedz Legnica |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31% | 30% | 39% |
| Market | 33% | 27% | 40% |
| Published | 33% | 27% | 40% |
| Edge | 0% | +1% | 0% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.33, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -6.7% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Puszcza Niepołomice vs Miedz Legnica odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Miedz Legnica, 4 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Puszcza Niepołomice | 2.37 | 2.75 | +0.38 |
| Draw | 3.45 | 3.42 | -0.03 |
| Miedz Legnica | 2.50 | 2.25 | -0.25 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Puszcza Niepołomice and Miedz Legnica expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.43
- Attack rating (Puszcza Niepołomice / Miedz Legnica)
- 0.93 / 0.95
- Defence rating (Puszcza Niepołomice / Miedz Legnica)
- 1.03 / 0.77
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Puszcza Niepołomice vs Miedz Legnica score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Puszcza Niepołomice goals. Columns: Miedz Legnica goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Puszcza Niepołomice vs Miedz Legnica goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 50%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Puszcza Niepołomice vs Miedz Legnica
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Puszcza Niepołomice | 33% | 3.07 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.65 | |
| Miedz Legnica | 40% | 2.50 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44% | 2.29 |
| Under 2.5 | 56% | 1.78 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50% | 1.98 |
| No | 50% | 2.02 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Puszcza Niepołomice or draw) | 60% | 1.67 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or Miedz Legnica) | 67% | 1.48 | |
| Handicap -1 | Miedz Legnica win by 2+ | 18% | 5.51 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Puszcza Niepołomice and Miedz Legnica recent form
Puszcza Niepołomice
2W 1D 3L
Miedz Legnica
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Puszcza Niepołomice at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-4
- Win rate
- 43%
- Goals for / match
- 1.14
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 7
- They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 12 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Miedz Legnica away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 0.80
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Puszcza Niepołomice at home only, Miedz Legnica away only.
Puszcza Niepołomice vs Miedz Legnica head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Puszcza Niepołomice 0 · draws 0 · Miedz Legnica 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Miedz Legnica | 2-1 | Puszcza Niepołomice | I Liga |
| 2025-11-21 | Puszcza Niepołomice | 1-3 | Miedz Legnica | I Liga |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Odra Opole vs Unia Skierniewice 2026-11-06
- Arka Gdynia v Podbeskidzie — match page 2026-11-07
- Nieciecza vs Chrobry Głogów — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Warta Poznań vs Polonia Warszawa 2026-11-07
- Polonia Bytom vs Lechia Gdansk 2026-11-08
- ŁKS Łódź v Stal Rzeszów — match page 2026-11-08
- Pogoń Siedlce vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Stal Mielec vs Ruch Chorzów — team news & stats 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Puszcza Niepołomice, previous: Stal Rzeszów vs Puszcza Niepołomice prediction
- Miedz Legnica, previous: Miedz Legnica v Nieciecza analysis