Updated

Liga II · Matchday 10

Concordia vs Viitorul Şelimbăr

· Stadionul Concordia, Chiajna

Alin prediction Concordia to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 2 – 1

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
ConcordiaDrawViitorul Şelimbăr

Concordia vs Viitorul Şelimbăr preview

In the Liga II fixture between Concordia and Viitorul Şelimbăr, Concordia has a 64% probability to win, while Viitorul Şelimbăr stands at 15%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with the expected goals of 2.23 for Concordia and just 1.00 for Viitorul Şelimbăr.

The model suggests a 63% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance for both teams to score. However, Concordia's recent form shows inconsistency with three wins and two losses in their last five matches, which could affect their performance. Viitorul Şelimbăr has also struggled, with only one win in their last six games.

Concordia vs Viitorul Şelimbăr: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceConcordiaDrawViitorul Şelimbăr
Model64%21%15%
Market———
Published64%21%15%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.23 vs 1.00.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Concordia and Viitorul Şelimbăr expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.23Concordia
1.00Viitorul Şelimbăr
Total expected goals
3.23
Attack rating (Concordia / Viitorul Şelimbăr)
1.27 / 0.82
Defence rating (Concordia / Viitorul Şelimbăr)
1.02 / 1.11

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Concordia vs Viitorul Şelimbăr score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 4.8% 3.1% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 1 7.9% 9.7% 4.4% 1.5% 0.5% 2 9.8% 9.8% 4.9% 1.6% 0.5% 3 7.3% 7.3% 3.7% 1.2% 0.4% 4+ 6.9% 6.9% 3.4% 1.2% 0.4%

Rows: Concordia goals. Columns: Viitorul Şelimbăr goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Concordia vs Viitorul Şelimbăr goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 95%
Over 1.5 84%
Over 2.5 63%
Over 3.5 41%
Both teams to score
57%
No goals (0–0)
5%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Concordia vs Viitorul Şelimbăr

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Concordia64%1.56
Draw21%4.80
Viitorul Şelimbăr15%6.74
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.563%1.59
Under 2.537%2.68
Both teams to scoreYes57%1.74
No43%2.35
Double chance1X (Concordia or draw)85%1.17
12 (either side)79%1.26
X2 (draw or Viitorul Şelimbăr)36%2.80
Handicap -1Concordia win by 2+42%2.37
Push (exactly one goal)22%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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Concordia and Viitorul Şelimbăr recent form

Concordia 3W 0D 3L
Viitorul Şelimbăr 1W 2D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Concordia at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-3
Win rate
25%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
1 of 4
  • They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They average 3.2 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Viitorul Şelimbăr away

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-4
Win rate
20%
Goals for / match
0.80
Goals against / match
2.20
Clean sheets
1 of 5
  • They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Concordia at home only, Viitorul Şelimbăr away only.

Concordia vs Viitorul Şelimbăr head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Concordia 1 · draws 0 · Viitorul Şelimbăr 1.

ConcordiaDrawsViitorul Şelimbăr
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-04-04Viitorul Şelimbăr0-2ConcordiaLiga II
2026-02-28Viitorul Şelimbăr1-0ConcordiaLiga II

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Concordia to win Predicted score 2 – 1 C Bet on Concordia