CSM Reşiţa vs Cetatea Suceava preview
In the Liga II fixture between CSM Reşiţa and Cetatea Suceava, the 1X2 probabilities show CSM Reşiţa at 41%, Cetatea Suceava at 32%, and a draw at 27%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which has a 9% probability. CSM Reşiţa has an expected goals figure of 1.52, while Cetatea Suceava sits at 1.33.
Both teams to score stands at 59%, and there is a 54% chance of Over 2.5 goals. However, CSM Reşiţa's recent form includes three wins and two losses, while Cetatea Suceava has four draws in their last six matches. This could impact the outcome, as a low-scoring draw is a possibility despite the statistical leanings.
CSM Reşiţa vs Cetatea Suceava: model vs market
| Source | CSM Reşiţa | Draw | Cetatea Suceava |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41% | 27% | 32% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 41% | 27% | 32% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
CSM Reşiţa and Cetatea Suceava expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.85
- Attack rating (CSM Reşiţa / Cetatea Suceava)
- 0.98 / 1.27
- Defence rating (CSM Reşiţa / Cetatea Suceava)
- 0.88 / 0.99
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
CSM Reşiţa vs Cetatea Suceava score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: CSM Reşiţa goals. Columns: Cetatea Suceava goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
CSM Reşiţa vs Cetatea Suceava goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 59%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for CSM Reşiţa vs Cetatea Suceava
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CSM Reşiţa | 41% | 2.46 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.68 | |
| Cetatea Suceava | 32% | 3.11 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54% | 1.84 |
| Under 2.5 | 46% | 2.19 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59% | 1.70 |
| No | 41% | 2.42 | |
| Double chance | 1X (CSM Reşiţa or draw) | 68% | 1.47 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or Cetatea Suceava) | 59% | 1.69 | |
| Handicap -1 | CSM Reşiţa win by 2+ | 21% | 4.85 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
CSM Reşiţa and Cetatea Suceava recent form
CSM Reşiţa
4W 0D 2L
Cetatea Suceava
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
CSM Reşiţa at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Cetatea Suceava away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-1
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: CSM Reşiţa at home only, Cetatea Suceava away only.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Concordia v Viitorul Şelimbăr — match page 2026-10-17
- Popești-Leordeni vs CS Afumati — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Slatina vs Unirea Slobozia 2026-10-17
- CSA Steaua Bucureşti v Metaloglobus — match page 2026-10-17
- Dumbrăviţa vs Bihor Oradea — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- CSM Satu Mare vs Metalul Buzău 2026-10-17
- Ştefăneşti v CS Dinamo București — match page 2026-10-17
- CSM Ramnicu Valcea vs FC Politehnica Timisoara 2026-10-17
Before and after this match
- CSM Reşiţa, previous: CSM Reşiţa – Slatina, 2026-10-10
- Cetatea Suceava, previous: Cetatea Suceava vs Dumbrăviţa: odds and pick