Updated

Liga II · Matchday 10

Dumbrăviţa vs Bihor Oradea

· Stefan Dobay Stadium, Dumbravita

Alin prediction Bihor Oradea to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 1 – 2

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
DumbrăviţaDrawBihor Oradea

Dumbrăviţa vs Bihor Oradea preview

Dumbrăviţa faces Bihor Oradea with a 20% chance of winning for Dumbrăviţa compared to 55% for Bihor Oradea, making the visitors strong favorites. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.02 for Dumbrăviţa and 1.82 for Bihor Oradea.

Recent form shows Dumbrăviţa struggling with four losses and two draws, while Bihor Oradea has mixed results with two wins, two draws, and two losses. Both teams to score has a 55% probability, and there’s a 54% chance of Over 2.5 goals, indicating a potential for an open match. However, if Dumbrăviţa improves its form, it could alter the expected outcome.

Dumbrăviţa vs Bihor Oradea: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceDumbrăviţaDrawBihor Oradea
Model20%25%55%
Market———
Published20%25%55%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.82 vs 1.02.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Dumbrăviţa and Bihor Oradea expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.02Dumbrăviţa
1.82Bihor Oradea
Total expected goals
2.84
Attack rating (Dumbrăviţa / Bihor Oradea)
0.60 / 1.24
Defence rating (Dumbrăviţa / Bihor Oradea)
1.23 / 1.08

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Dumbrăviţa vs Bihor Oradea score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 6.9% 9.5% 9.7% 5.9% 4.1% 1 4.9% 11.9% 9.9% 6.0% 4.1% 2 3.0% 5.5% 5.0% 3.1% 2.1% 3 1.0% 1.9% 1.7% 1.0% 0.7% 4+ 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%

Rows: Dumbrăviţa goals. Columns: Bihor Oradea goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Dumbrăviţa vs Bihor Oradea goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 93%
Over 1.5 79%
Over 2.5 54%
Over 3.5 32%
Both teams to score
55%
No goals (0–0)
7%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Dumbrăviţa vs Bihor Oradea

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Dumbrăviţa20%5.04
Draw25%4.00
Bihor Oradea55%1.81
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554%1.85
Under 2.546%2.18
Both teams to scoreYes55%1.83
No45%2.21
Double chance1X (Dumbrăviţa or draw)45%2.23
12 (either side)75%1.33
X2 (draw or Bihor Oradea)80%1.25
Handicap -1Bihor Oradea win by 2+32%3.11
Push (exactly one goal)23%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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Dumbrăviţa and Bihor Oradea recent form

Dumbrăviţa 0W 2D 4L
Bihor Oradea 2W 2D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Dumbrăviţa at home

Record (W-D-L)
0-2-3
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.40
Goals against / match
1.40
Clean sheets
0 of 5
  • They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.4 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
  • 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Bihor Oradea away

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-3
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
1 of 4
  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Dumbrăviţa at home only, Bihor Oradea away only.

Dumbrăviţa vs Bihor Oradea head-to-head

Last 1 meetings: Dumbrăviţa 0 · draws 0 · Bihor Oradea 1.

DumbrăviţaDrawsBihor Oradea
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2025-08-15Bihor Oradea3-2DumbrăviţaLiga II

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Bihor Oradea to win Predicted score 1 – 2 C Bet on Bihor Oradea