CSA Steaua Bucureşti vs Metaloglobus preview
In the Liga II fixture between CSA Steaua Bucureşti and Metaloglobus, the 1X2 probabilities show CSA Steaua Bucureşti at 36%, draw at 26%, and Metaloglobus at 38%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, with a 9% chance. The model suggests a strong likelihood for Over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 65%.
Expected goals are close, with CSA Steaua Bucureşti at 1.56 and Metaloglobus at 1.62. Recent form indicates CSA Steaua Bucureşti has drawn twice and lost three times in their last six matches, while Metaloglobus has won three of their last six. This recent performance could influence the outcome, making the predictions less certain.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti vs Metaloglobus: model vs market
| Source | CSA Steaua Bucureşti | Draw | Metaloglobus |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36% | 26% | 38% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 36% | 26% | 38% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
CSA Steaua Bucureşti and Metaloglobus expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.19
- Attack rating (CSA Steaua Bucureşti / Metaloglobus)
- 0.91 / 0.99
- Defence rating (CSA Steaua Bucureşti / Metaloglobus)
- 1.37 / 1.09
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti vs Metaloglobus score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: CSA Steaua Bucureşti goals. Columns: Metaloglobus goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
CSA Steaua Bucureşti vs Metaloglobus goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 65%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for CSA Steaua Bucureşti vs Metaloglobus
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 36% | 2.78 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.91 | |
| Metaloglobus | 38% | 2.60 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62% | 1.62 |
| Under 2.5 | 38% | 2.61 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65% | 1.55 |
| No | 35% | 2.82 | |
| Double chance | 1X (CSA Steaua Bucureşti or draw) | 62% | 1.63 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Metaloglobus) | 64% | 1.56 | |
| Handicap -1 | Metaloglobus win by 2+ | 20% | 5.03 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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CSA Steaua Bucureşti and Metaloglobus recent form
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
1W 3D 2L
Metaloglobus
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
CSA Steaua Bucureşti at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
Metaloglobus away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: CSA Steaua Bucureşti at home only, Metaloglobus away only.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Concordia v Viitorul Şelimbăr — match page 2026-10-17
- CSM Reşiţa v Cetatea Suceava — match page 2026-10-17
- Popești-Leordeni vs CS Afumati — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Slatina vs Unirea Slobozia 2026-10-17
- Dumbrăviţa vs Bihor Oradea — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- CSM Satu Mare vs Metalul Buzău 2026-10-17
- Ştefăneşti v CS Dinamo București — match page 2026-10-17
- CSM Ramnicu Valcea vs FC Politehnica Timisoara 2026-10-17
Before and after this match
- CSA Steaua Bucureşti, previous: FC Politehnica Timisoara vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti: odds and pick
- Metaloglobus, previous: Metaloglobus v Popești-Leordeni analysis