CSM Ramnicu Valcea vs FC Politehnica Timisoara: model vs market
| Source | CSM Ramnicu Valcea | Draw | FC Politehnica Timisoara |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24% | 24% | 52% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 24% | 24% | 52% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.92 vs 1.26.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
CSM Ramnicu Valcea and FC Politehnica Timisoara expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.18
- Attack rating (CSM Ramnicu Valcea / FC Politehnica Timisoara)
- 0.96 / 1.37
- Defence rating (CSM Ramnicu Valcea / FC Politehnica Timisoara)
- 1.17 / 0.83
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
CSM Ramnicu Valcea vs FC Politehnica Timisoara score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: CSM Ramnicu Valcea goals. Columns: FC Politehnica Timisoara goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
CSM Ramnicu Valcea vs FC Politehnica Timisoara goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 62%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for CSM Ramnicu Valcea vs FC Politehnica Timisoara
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 24% | 4.15 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.13 | |
| FC Politehnica Timisoara | 52% | 1.93 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62% | 1.62 |
| Under 2.5 | 38% | 2.61 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62% | 1.61 |
| No | 38% | 2.65 | |
| Double chance | 1X (CSM Ramnicu Valcea or draw) | 48% | 2.07 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or FC Politehnica Timisoara) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Politehnica Timisoara win by 2+ | 30% | 3.30 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
CSM Ramnicu Valcea and FC Politehnica Timisoara recent form
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
2W 1D 3L
FC Politehnica Timisoara
4W 2D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
CSM Ramnicu Valcea at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Politehnica Timisoara away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 2.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game on the road against 1.8 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: CSM Ramnicu Valcea at home only, FC Politehnica Timisoara away only.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Concordia v Viitorul Şelimbăr — match page 2026-10-17
- CSM Reşiţa v Cetatea Suceava — match page 2026-10-17
- Popești-Leordeni vs CS Afumati — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- Slatina vs Unirea Slobozia 2026-10-17
- CSA Steaua Bucureşti v Metaloglobus — match page 2026-10-17
- Dumbrăviţa vs Bihor Oradea — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- CSM Satu Mare vs Metalul Buzău 2026-10-17
- Ştefăneşti v CS Dinamo București — match page 2026-10-17
Before and after this match
- CSM Ramnicu Valcea, previous: Gloria Bistriţa v CSM Ramnicu Valcea analysis
- FC Politehnica Timisoara, previous: FC Politehnica Timisoara vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti: odds and pick