Popești-Leordeni vs CS Afumati preview
In the Liga II fixture between Popești-Leordeni and CS Afumati, the 1X2 probabilities show Popești-Leordeni at 55%, while CS Afumati is at 24%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which occurs with a 9% probability. With expected goals of 2.31 for Popești-Leordeni and 1.52 for CS Afumati, there is a strong chance for Over 2.5 goals at 73% and both teams to score at 71%.
However, the confidence grade is C, indicating uncertainty in the prediction. Recent form shows Popești-Leordeni with a mixed record of L-W-W-D-W-D, while CS Afumati has a slightly better run of W-D-W-W-D-L. This could affect the outcome, making it possible for the match to deviate from the forecasted numbers.
Popești-Leordeni vs CS Afumati: model vs market
| Source | Popești-Leordeni | Draw | CS Afumati |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55% | 21% | 24% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 55% | 21% | 24% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.31 vs 1.52.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Popești-Leordeni and CS Afumati expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.82
- Attack rating (Popești-Leordeni / CS Afumati)
- 1.49 / 1.03
- Defence rating (Popești-Leordeni / CS Afumati)
- 1.24 / 0.98
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Popești-Leordeni vs CS Afumati score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Popești-Leordeni goals. Columns: CS Afumati goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Popești-Leordeni vs CS Afumati goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 71%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Popești-Leordeni vs CS Afumati
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Popești-Leordeni | 55% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.69 | |
| CS Afumati | 24% | 4.14 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73% | 1.36 |
| Under 2.5 | 27% | 3.77 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71% | 1.41 |
| No | 29% | 3.45 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Popești-Leordeni or draw) | 76% | 1.32 |
| 12 (either side) | 79% | 1.27 | |
| X2 (draw or CS Afumati) | 45% | 2.20 | |
| Handicap -1 | Popești-Leordeni win by 2+ | 35% | 2.90 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Popești-Leordeni and CS Afumati recent form
Popești-Leordeni
3W 2D 1L
CS Afumati
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Popești-Leordeni at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 3.25
- Goals against / match
- 2.25
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CS Afumati away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Popești-Leordeni at home only, CS Afumati away only.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Concordia v Viitorul Şelimbăr — match page 2026-10-17
- CSM Reşiţa v Cetatea Suceava — match page 2026-10-17
- Slatina vs Unirea Slobozia 2026-10-17
- CSA Steaua Bucureşti v Metaloglobus — match page 2026-10-17
- Dumbrăviţa vs Bihor Oradea — team news & stats 2026-10-17
- CSM Satu Mare vs Metalul Buzău 2026-10-17
- Ştefăneşti v CS Dinamo București — match page 2026-10-17
- CSM Ramnicu Valcea vs FC Politehnica Timisoara 2026-10-17
Before and after this match
- Popești-Leordeni, previous: Metaloglobus v Popești-Leordeni analysis
- CS Afumati, previous: CS Afumati vs Ştefăneşti prediction