Updated

Liga II · Matchday 10

Ştefăneşti vs CS Dinamo București

· Stadionul Dumitru Matarau, Stefanestii de Jos

Alin prediction Ştefăneşti to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 2 – 1

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
ŞtefăneştiDrawCS Dinamo București

Ştefăneşti vs CS Dinamo București preview

In the Liga II fixture on 2026-10-17, Ştefăneşti has a 54% chance to win against CS Dinamo București, who also have a 23% chance. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 10% probability. The model suggests a high likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams to score at 64%.

Despite these figures, recent form shows both teams struggling, with Ştefăneşti losing 4 of their last 6 matches and CS Dinamo București also losing 4 of their last 6. This could impact the expected goals, with Ştefăneşti at 2.07 and CS Dinamo București at 1.30, making it uncertain how the match will unfold.

Ştefăneşti vs CS Dinamo București: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceŞtefăneştiDrawCS Dinamo București
Model54%23%23%
Market———
Published54%23%23%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.07 vs 1.30.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Ştefăneşti and CS Dinamo București expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.07Ştefăneşti
1.30CS Dinamo București
Total expected goals
3.37
Attack rating (Ştefăneşti / CS Dinamo București)
0.71 / 0.89
Defence rating (Ştefăneşti / CS Dinamo București)
1.21 / 1.84

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Ştefăneşti vs CS Dinamo București score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 4.4% 3.6% 2.9% 1.3% 0.5% 1 6.2% 10.2% 6.0% 2.6% 1.1% 2 7.4% 9.6% 6.2% 2.7% 1.2% 3 5.1% 6.6% 4.3% 1.9% 0.8% 4+ 4.3% 5.5% 3.6% 1.5% 0.7%

Rows: Ştefăneşti goals. Columns: CS Dinamo București goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Ştefăneşti vs CS Dinamo București goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 96%
Over 1.5 86%
Over 2.5 65%
Over 3.5 43%
Both teams to score
64%
No goals (0–0)
4%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Ştefăneşti vs CS Dinamo București

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Ştefăneşti54%1.84
Draw23%4.35
CS Dinamo București23%4.40
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.565%1.53
Under 2.535%2.89
Both teams to scoreYes64%1.55
No36%2.81
Double chance1X (Ştefăneşti or draw)77%1.29
12 (either side)77%1.30
X2 (draw or CS Dinamo București)46%2.19
Handicap -1Ştefăneşti win by 2+33%3.02
Push (exactly one goal)21%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites
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Ştefăneşti and CS Dinamo București recent form

Ştefăneşti 1W 0D 5L
CS Dinamo București 1W 0D 5L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Ştefăneşti at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-0-2
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
1.25
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
1 of 4
  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.

CS Dinamo București away

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-4
Win rate
20%
Goals for / match
1.40
Goals against / match
4.00
Clean sheets
0 of 5
  • They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Ştefăneşti at home only, CS Dinamo București away only.

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Ştefăneşti to win Predicted score 2 – 1 C Bet on Ştefăneşti