Updated

Saudi Arabia Pro League · Matchday 13Postponed

Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej Saihat

· Al Hazm Club Stadium, Ar Rass

Alin prediction Al Kholood to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 2 – 1

7% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Al KholoodDrawAl Khaleej Saihat
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Al Kholood is the favourite, not a value bet.

Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej Saihat: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceAl KholoodDrawAl Khaleej Saihat
Model32%23%45%
Market43%27%30%
Published40%26%34%
Edge-3%-1%+4%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej Saihat odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Al Kholood, 11 snapshots since 2026-10-31.

Opened 2.01Now 2.34 +0.33
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Al Kholood2.012.34+0.33
Draw3.503.10-0.40
Al Khaleej Saihat3.422.88-0.54

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Al Kholood and Al Khaleej Saihat expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.71Al Kholood
2.05Al Khaleej Saihat
Total expected goals
3.77
Attack rating (Al Kholood / Al Khaleej Saihat)
0.89 / 0.96
Defence rating (Al Kholood / Al Khaleej Saihat)
1.48 / 1.22

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej Saihat score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 3.1% 3.9% 4.9% 3.3% 2.7% 1 3.2% 9.0% 8.4% 5.7% 4.7% 2 3.4% 7.0% 7.2% 4.9% 4.0% 3 1.9% 4.0% 4.1% 2.8% 2.3% 4+ 1.2% 2.5% 2.6% 1.8% 1.5%

Rows: Al Kholood goals. Columns: Al Khaleej Saihat goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej Saihat goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 97%
Over 1.5 90%
Over 2.5 73%
Over 3.5 52%
Both teams to score
72%
No goals (0–0)
3%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej Saihat

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Al Kholood40%2.49
Draw26%3.81
Al Khaleej Saihat34%2.98
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.573%1.38
Under 2.527%3.64
Both teams to scoreYes72%1.38
No28%3.60
Double chance1X (Al Kholood or draw)66%1.51
12 (either side)74%1.36
X2 (draw or Al Khaleej Saihat)60%1.67
Handicap -1Al Kholood win by 2+16%6.14
Push (exactly one goal)16%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Al Kholood and Al Khaleej Saihat recent form

Al Kholood 1W 0D 5L
Al Khaleej Saihat 3W 2D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Al Kholood at home

Record (W-D-L)
3-0-2
Win rate
60%
Goals for / match
1.60
Goals against / match
2.40
Clean sheets
0 of 5
  • They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
  • They have converted 1 of 4 penalties (25%).
  • 52% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Al Khaleej Saihat away

Record (W-D-L)
1-3-2
Win rate
17%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
1.83
Clean sheets
1 of 6
  • They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 12 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Al Kholood at home only, Al Khaleej Saihat away only.

Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej Saihat head-to-head

Last 7 meetings: Al Kholood 3 · draws 2 · Al Khaleej Saihat 2.

Al KholoodDrawsAl Khaleej Saihat
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-04-03Al Kholood2-2Al Khaleej SaihatSaudi Arabia Pro League
2026-02-24Al Khaleej Saihat2-3Al KholoodSaudi Arabia Pro League
2025-11-28Al Kholood4-3Al Khaleej SaihatKing's Cup
2025-03-01Al Kholood2-1Al Khaleej SaihatPro League
2024-10-04Al Khaleej Saihat1-0Al KholoodPro League
2022-02-14Al Kholood1-1Al Khaleej SaihatDivision 1
2021-10-06Al Khaleej Saihat1-0Al KholoodDivision 1

Other Matchday 13 fixtures

Before and after this match