Bo'ness United vs Forfar Athletic Prediction & Betting Tips 24/10/2026

Bo'ness United vs Forfar Athletic preview

In the FA Cup match between Bo'ness United and Forfar Athletic, the 1X2 probabilities show Bo'ness United at 50%, with a likely scoreline of 2-1 (9%). The model also indicates a strong chance for Over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams to score at 66%.

Bo'ness United's expected goals sit at 1.97, while Forfar Athletic trails with 1.40. Recent form shows Bo'ness United winning three of their last five matches, while Forfar Athletic has two wins in the same period. The confidence grade is C, suggesting some uncertainty; unexpected defensive performances could affect the expected goals and the outcome.

Bo'ness United vs Forfar Athletic: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Bo'ness United	Draw	Forfar Athletic
Model	50%	24%	26%
Market	—	—	—
Published	50%	24%	26%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.97 vs 1.40.
Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 5 vs 2 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Bo'ness United and Forfar Athletic expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.97Bo'ness United

1.40Forfar Athletic

Total expected goals: 3.37
Attack rating (Bo'ness United / Forfar Athletic): 1.07 / 0.83
Defence rating (Bo'ness United / Forfar Athletic): 1.11 / 0.98

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Bo'ness United vs Forfar Athletic score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 4.4% 3.8% 3.3% 1.6% 0.7% 1 5.8% 10.4% 6.6% 3.1% 1.5% 2 6.7% 9.4% 6.5% 3.0% 1.4% 3 4.4% 6.2% 4.3% 2.0% 0.9% 4+ 3.4% 4.8% 3.3% 1.6% 0.7%

Rows: Bo'ness United goals. Columns: Forfar Athletic goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Bo'ness United vs Forfar Athletic goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 96%

Over 1.5 86%

Over 2.5 65%

Over 3.5 44%

Both teams to score: 66%
No goals (0–0): 4%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Bo'ness United vs Forfar Athletic

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Bo'ness United	50%	2.00
	Draw	24%	4.22
	Forfar Athletic	26%	3.81
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	65%	1.53
	Under 2.5	35%	2.90
Both teams to score	Yes	66%	1.52
	No	34%	2.92
Double chance	1X (Bo'ness United or draw)	74%	1.36
	12 (either side)	76%	1.31
	X2 (draw or Forfar Athletic)	50%	2.00
Handicap -1	Bo'ness United win by 2+	29%	3.40
	Push (exactly one goal)	21%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Compare the market for this pick

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites

#	Welcome offer	Why it is here	Visit
1	50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply.	M-PESA Paybill 290059 Daily Jackpot Live betting	Get offer
2	First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.	1,000+ events every day Live betting around the clock 30+ markets on live events	Get offer
3	100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply.	M-Pesa and Airtel Money deposits Live in-play betting Android and iOS app	Get offer
4	200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.	1,000+ events every day 30+ markets on live events 24/7 customer support	Get offer