Stranraer vs Tayport preview
In the Scotland FA Cup fixture between Stranraer and Tayport, the 1X2 probabilities show Stranraer at 49%, Tayport at 27%, and a draw at 24%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance according to our model. Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are both at 67%, indicating a strong possibility for an exciting match.
Stranraer has an expected goals figure of 2.00, while Tayport sits at 1.45. Recent form shows Stranraer with a record of D-W-W-L-W and Tayport at W-L-W-W-L. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting that while the predictions are based on solid data, there is still room for unexpected outcomes.
Stranraer vs Tayport: model vs market
| Source | Stranraer | Draw | Tayport |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49% | 24% | 27% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 49% | 24% | 27% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.00 vs 1.45.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Stranraer and Tayport expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.45
- Attack rating (Stranraer / Tayport)
- 1.13 / 1.15
- Defence rating (Stranraer / Tayport)
- 0.84 / 0.94
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Stranraer vs Tayport score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Stranraer goals. Columns: Tayport goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Stranraer vs Tayport goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 67%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Stranraer vs Tayport
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stranraer | 49% | 2.02 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.25 | |
| Tayport | 27% | 3.69 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67% | 1.49 |
| Under 2.5 | 33% | 3.02 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67% | 1.49 |
| No | 33% | 3.04 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Stranraer or draw) | 73% | 1.37 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.31 | |
| X2 (draw or Tayport) | 51% | 1.98 | |
| Handicap -1 | Stranraer win by 2+ | 29% | 3.44 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Stranraer and Tayport recent form
Stranraer
3W 1D 1L
Tayport
3W 0D 2L
Last 5 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
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