Threave Rovers vs Pollok Prediction & Betting Tips 24/10/2026

Threave Rovers vs Pollok preview

In the upcoming match between Threave Rovers and Pollok, the 1X2 probabilities show Threave Rovers at 57% to win, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1 (8%). The model also indicates a strong chance for Over 2.5 goals at 82% and both teams to score at 77%.

However, the confidence grade is C, suggesting potential uncertainty. Pollok's recent form includes a mix of wins and losses, which could impact their performance. If they manage to improve their consistency, the expected goals of 1.73 for Pollok might make the outcome less predictable.

Threave Rovers vs Pollok: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Threave Rovers	Draw	Pollok
Model	57%	19%	23%
Market	—	—	—
Published	57%	19%	23%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.67 vs 1.73.
Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Threave Rovers and Pollok expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.67Threave Rovers

1.73Pollok

Total expected goals: 4.40
Attack rating (Threave Rovers / Pollok): 1.42 / 0.98
Defence rating (Threave Rovers / Pollok): 1.17 / 1.00

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Threave Rovers vs Pollok score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 1.8% 1.6% 1.8% 1.1% 0.7% 1 2.7% 6.2% 4.9% 2.8% 1.8% 2 4.4% 7.6% 6.5% 3.8% 2.4% 3 3.9% 6.7% 5.8% 3.4% 2.1% 4+ 5.0% 8.6% 7.4% 4.3% 2.7%

Rows: Threave Rovers goals. Columns: Pollok goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Threave Rovers vs Pollok goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 98%

Over 1.5 94%

Over 2.5 82%

Over 3.5 64%

Both teams to score: 77%
No goals (0–0): 2%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Threave Rovers vs Pollok

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Threave Rovers	57%	1.74
	Draw	19%	5.24
	Pollok	23%	4.26
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	82%	1.23
	Under 2.5	18%	5.41
Both teams to score	Yes	77%	1.30
	No	23%	4.38
Double chance	1X (Threave Rovers or draw)	77%	1.31
	12 (either side)	81%	1.24
	X2 (draw or Pollok)	43%	2.35
Handicap -1	Threave Rovers win by 2+	38%	2.60
	Push (exactly one goal)	19%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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