Lochee United vs Spartans Prediction & Betting Tips 24/10/2026

Lochee United vs Spartans preview

In the FA Cup fixture between Lochee United and Spartans, the 1X2 probabilities show Lochee United at 50%, Spartans at 27%, and a draw at 22%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance. The model indicates a strong possibility of Over 2.5 goals at 71% and both teams to score at 70%.

Lochee United's expected goals stand at 2.13, while Spartans have 1.55. Recent form shows Lochee United winning three of their last six matches, while Spartans have only two wins in their last five. The confidence grade for this prediction is C, meaning there is some uncertainty in the outcome.

Lochee United vs Spartans: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Lochee United	Draw	Spartans
Model	50%	22%	27%
Market	—	—	—
Published	50%	22%	27%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.13 vs 1.55.
Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Lochee United and Spartans expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.13Lochee United

1.55Spartans

Total expected goals: 3.69
Attack rating (Lochee United / Spartans): 1.34 / 0.84
Defence rating (Lochee United / Spartans): 1.22 / 0.85

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Lochee United vs Spartans score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 3.3% 3.1% 3.0% 1.6% 0.9% 1 4.5% 9.1% 6.4% 3.3% 1.8% 2 5.7% 8.9% 6.9% 3.6% 2.0% 3 4.1% 6.3% 4.9% 2.5% 1.4% 4+ 3.6% 5.5% 4.3% 2.2% 1.2%

Rows: Lochee United goals. Columns: Spartans goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Lochee United vs Spartans goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 97%

Over 1.5 89%

Over 2.5 71%

Over 3.5 50%

Both teams to score: 70%
No goals (0–0): 3%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Lochee United vs Spartans

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Lochee United	50%	1.99
	Draw	22%	4.45
	Spartans	27%	3.67
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	71%	1.40
	Under 2.5	29%	3.48
Both teams to score	Yes	70%	1.42
	No	30%	3.37
Double chance	1X (Lochee United or draw)	73%	1.37
	12 (either side)	78%	1.29
	X2 (draw or Spartans)	50%	2.01
Handicap -1	Lochee United win by 2+	30%	3.29
	Push (exactly one goal)	20%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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