Brora Rangers vs Cowdenbeath preview
In the Scotland FA Cup match between Brora Rangers and Cowdenbeath, the 1X2 probabilities show Brora Rangers at 63% to win, while Cowdenbeath sits at 18%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with the expected goals of 2.56 for Brora Rangers and 1.37 for Cowdenbeath. Over 2.5 goals is projected at 75%, and both teams to score is at 69%.
However, the confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions. Recent form also shows mixed results, with Brora Rangers winning 3 of their last 5 matches and Cowdenbeath winning 3 of their last 5 as well. This could lead to a different outcome than expected.
Brora Rangers vs Cowdenbeath: model vs market
| Source | Brora Rangers | Draw | Cowdenbeath |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 63% | 19% | 18% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 63% | 19% | 18% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.56 vs 1.37.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Brora Rangers and Cowdenbeath expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.93
- Attack rating (Brora Rangers / Cowdenbeath)
- 1.35 / 1.16
- Defence rating (Brora Rangers / Cowdenbeath)
- 0.78 / 1.01
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Brora Rangers vs Cowdenbeath score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Brora Rangers goals. Columns: Cowdenbeath goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Brora Rangers vs Cowdenbeath goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 69%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Brora Rangers vs Cowdenbeath
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Brora Rangers | 63% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.20 | |
| Cowdenbeath | 18% | 5.49 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75% | 1.33 |
| Under 2.5 | 25% | 4.01 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69% | 1.44 |
| No | 31% | 3.27 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Brora Rangers or draw) | 82% | 1.22 |
| 12 (either side) | 81% | 1.24 | |
| X2 (draw or Cowdenbeath) | 37% | 2.67 | |
| Handicap -1 | Brora Rangers win by 2+ | 42% | 2.36 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Brora Rangers and Cowdenbeath recent form
Brora Rangers
3W 0D 2L
Cowdenbeath
3W 0D 2L
Last 5 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
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